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供应链与格局重塑之路:包装出海:
Huafu Securities· 2025-11-19 14:33
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The trend of packaging companies going overseas has shifted from an optional strategy to a necessary one due to intensified competition in the domestic market and changes in the international trade environment. The motivations for going overseas include responding to customer needs and industry chain shifts, as well as profit-driven and green/smart transformation initiatives. Key regions for expansion include Southeast Asia and Mexico, with a focus on light asset models and production line relocations to optimize profitability [4][5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Paper Packaging - The necessity for overseas expansion is driven by global supply chain migration and domestic low concentration leading to cost pressures. Companies are focusing on deep customer binding and local support [5][7] - Leading companies like Yutong Technology and Meiyingsen are expanding overseas, benefiting from early establishment in foreign markets and enjoying higher profit margins compared to domestic operations [21][24] - Investment recommendations include Yutong Technology and Meiyingsen for their strong overseas presence and high dividend yields, as well as Zhongxin Co. for its growth potential in Thailand [4][6][24] 2. Metal Packaging - The industry is facing pressure domestically, but overseas profitability remains strong. Companies are actively pursuing overseas expansion to counter domestic competition and improve profit margins [31][34] - Key players like Aorijin and Baosteel Packaging are enhancing their overseas sales ratios, with significant improvements in profit margins for exports compared to domestic sales [34][61] - Investment suggestions focus on Aorijin for its differentiated overseas strategy and Baosteel Packaging for its clear capacity expansion plans [4][6][34] 3. Plastic Packaging - The industry is shifting towards environmentally friendly and customized solutions, with companies like Yongxin Co. leading the way in functional film materials and expanding their overseas market presence [64][73] - The market for single-material plastic films is expected to grow significantly, driven by sustainability trends and increasing demand from multinational brands [70][73] - Investment recommendations highlight Yongxin Co. for its robust growth in functional film materials and stable revenue from overseas markets [4][6][73]