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华鲁恒升(600426):2025 年三季报点评:Q3产销量同比提升,TDI项目稳步推进
Western Securities· 2025-11-04 07:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.55 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.46%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.37 billion yuan, down 22.14% year-on-year [3][6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.07% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.54% [3][6] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin improved year-on-year in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 19.14% and a net profit margin of 10.34% [3][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2025, the overall gross margin was 18.38%, and the net profit margin was 10.08%, both showing a decline of 1.63 and 2.03 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s expenses as a percentage of revenue for sales, management, finance, and R&D were 0.29%, 1.02%, 0.78%, and 2.24%, respectively, with slight increases year-on-year [3] Product Performance - The company’s revenue from new energy materials, chemical fertilizers, organic amines, and acetic acid and derivatives for Q1-3 2025 were 11.56 billion, 5.83 billion, 1.77 billion, and 2.52 billion yuan, respectively, with the chemical fertilizer segment showing a notable revenue increase of 11.01% year-on-year [2] - The production volumes for these segments were 3.57 million, 4.39 million, 424,200, and 1.15 million tons, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12.40%, 30.16%, and 5.30% [2] Project Development - The company is progressing with its TDI project, with the environmental impact report for the 300,000 tons/year TDI project being publicly announced [3] - The company has successfully completed all processes for its 200,000 tons/year BDO project, which has entered the trial production phase [3] Future Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.15 billion, 3.93 billion, and 4.48 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 17.5, 14.0, and 12.3 times [3][4]