本周观点：欧佩克降价增产，国际油价震荡运行，建议关注进口替代、纯内需、高股息等方向 华鑫证券近日发布化工行业研究：化工产品价格方面，本周部分产品有所反弹，其中本周上涨较多的 有：甲苯上涨25.22%，液氯上涨13.73%，甲基环硅氧烷上涨13.64%，硫酸上涨11.11%等，但仍有不少 产品价格下跌，其中丁二烯跌幅-7.89%，醋酸乙烯跌幅-4.35%，二氯甲烷跌幅-4.23%，燃料油跌 幅-3.80%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 甲苯、液氯等涨幅居前，丁二烯、醋酸乙烯等跌幅较大本周涨幅较大的产品：甲苯（FOB韩国， 25.22%），液氯（华东地区，13.73%），甲基环硅氧烷（DMC华东，13.64%），硫酸（杭州颜料化工 厂105%，11.11%），硫磺（CFR中国合同价，10.00%），电池级碳酸锂（新疆99.5%min，8.78%）， 锂电池电解液（全国均价/磷酸铁锂电解液，8.70%），合成氨（河北金源，8.58%），硫酸（双狮 98%，8.00%），工业级碳酸锂（四川99.0%min，7.59%）。 本周跌幅较大的产品：双酚A（华东，-2.05%），PVC（华东乙烯法，-2.06%），丙烯（ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main products are under profit pressure, but new material projects are progressing steadily [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 77.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.07% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.54% [4][5] - The company achieved a gross margin of 18.38% in Q3, an increase of 2.1 percentage points from the previous quarter [6] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 235.52 billion yuan, down 6.46% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.74 billion yuan, down 22.14% year-on-year [4] - The sales volume of key products such as new energy materials and chemical fertilizers increased by 13.84% and 35.45% respectively, despite price declines [5] - The average prices of major products like urea and isooctanol decreased by 12.25% and 31.42% respectively [5] Project Developments - New projects, including a 200,000-ton BDO and a 160,000-ton NMP integrated project, were officially put into production, contributing positively to the company's performance [6][8] - The company is expanding its market share in the lithium battery upstream sector, with a total capacity of 700,000 tons for its new projects [8] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 43.58 billion yuan, 48.88 billion yuan, and 53.72 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 11 times respectively [9]

Core Viewpoint - Huajin Co., Ltd. is focusing on enhancing its competitive edge and addressing challenges in the petrochemical industry through innovation and strategic planning [1][2][3] Group 1: Business Overview - Huajin Co., Ltd. specializes in the production and sales of petrochemicals and chemical fertilizers, with key products including diesel, polypropylene resin, polyethylene resin, ABS resin, and various oils [1] - The company has strong production capabilities in both naphthenic and paraffinic base oils, supported by a robust technology innovation system that integrates research, production, and sales [1] Group 2: Challenges and Responses - The company's performance is influenced by multiple factors, including raw material prices, product sales prices, and production efficiency, with recent losses attributed to international oil price fluctuations and insufficient downstream demand in the petrochemical sector [2] - To mitigate risks from raw material price volatility, the company is optimizing procurement strategies, exploring new channels, and enhancing marketing operations [2] Group 3: Future Development Strategy - Huajin Co., Ltd. plans to focus on optimizing four key sectors, strengthening the industrial chain, and improving operational capabilities, while emphasizing high-end, green, and intelligent development [3] - The company aims to accelerate the development of high-value-added new products to enhance its competitive advantage and align with national policy directions [3]

Group 1: China Jushi (600176.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 139.04 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.53% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 25.68 billion yuan, up 67.51% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 26.12 billion yuan, increasing by 125.91% [6][9] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 34.91 billion, 41.07 billion, and 46.48 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, driven by the recovery of fiberglass prices and demand from various downstream sectors [9] Group 2: Transsion Holdings (688036.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 204.66 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.60%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.35 billion yuan, down 11.06% year-on-year [11] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 694.0 billion, 751.7 billion, and 871.6 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 38.2 billion, 56.7 billion, and 70.8 billion yuan respectively [13] Group 3: Tonglian Precision (688210.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.75%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 884,000 yuan, down 91.67% year-on-year [15] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 11.4 billion, 15.5 billion, and 21.1 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 1.0 billion, 1.9 billion, and 2.9 billion yuan respectively [17] Group 4: Topband Co., Ltd. (002139.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 26.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 900 million yuan, down 44.7% year-on-year [18] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.2 billion, 8.5 billion, and 10.8 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [19] Group 5: Inspur Information (000977.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 1206.69 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a net profit of 14.82 billion yuan, up 15% year-on-year [25] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 26.38 billion, 37.31 billion, and 47.77 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [26] Group 6: Benda Pharmaceutical (300558.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 27.17 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.90%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.17 billion yuan, down 23.86% year-on-year [28] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 35.50 billion, 43.71 billion, and 53.09 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 5.73 billion, 7.21 billion, and 8.56 billion yuan respectively [29] Group 7: XWANDA (300207.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 435.34 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.73%, with a net profit of 14.05 billion yuan, up 15.94% year-on-year [35] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 21.83 billion, 30.29 billion, and 40.31 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [37] Group 8: YH Technology (688080.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.5%, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, up 17.5% year-on-year [39] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.6 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [40] Group 9: Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 102.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56.8%, with a net profit of 31.4 billion yuan, up 125% year-on-year [42] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 107 billion, 205 billion, and 268 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [43] Group 10: Dongfang Tower (002545.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 33.92 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, with a net profit of 8.28 billion yuan, up 77.57% year-on-year [44] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 12.68 billion, 14.46 billion, and 17.19 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.55 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.46%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.37 billion yuan, down 22.14% year-on-year [3][6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.07% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.54% [3][6] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin improved year-on-year in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 19.14% and a net profit margin of 10.34% [3][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2025, the overall gross margin was 18.38%, and the net profit margin was 10.08%, both showing a decline of 1.63 and 2.03 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s expenses as a percentage of revenue for sales, management, finance, and R&D were 0.29%, 1.02%, 0.78%, and 2.24%, respectively, with slight increases year-on-year [3] Product Performance - The company’s revenue from new energy materials, chemical fertilizers, organic amines, and acetic acid and derivatives for Q1-3 2025 were 11.56 billion, 5.83 billion, 1.77 billion, and 2.52 billion yuan, respectively, with the chemical fertilizer segment showing a notable revenue increase of 11.01% year-on-year [2] - The production volumes for these segments were 3.57 million, 4.39 million, 424,200, and 1.15 million tons, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12.40%, 30.16%, and 5.30% [2] Project Development - The company is progressing with its TDI project, with the environmental impact report for the 300,000 tons/year TDI project being publicly announced [3] - The company has successfully completed all processes for its 200,000 tons/year BDO project, which has entered the trial production phase [3] Future Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.15 billion, 3.93 billion, and 4.48 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 17.5, 14.0, and 12.3 times [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Hualu Hengsheng is a leading player in the domestic chemical industry, with strong competitive advantages in urea and methanol production, and has achieved significant financial performance in 2025 Q3, ranking first in the industry for both revenue and net profit [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Hualu Hengsheng reported revenue of 235.52 billion yuan, ranking first in the industry, significantly exceeding the industry average of 96.58 billion yuan and the median of 54.7 billion yuan [2] - The company's net profit for the same period was 26.19 billion yuan, also ranking first in the industry, compared to the second-ranked Hubei Yihua's 13.32 billion yuan and an industry average of 5.65 billion yuan [2] Profitability and Debt Ratios - As of Q3 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was 29.60%, lower than the previous year's 30.36% and significantly below the industry average of 45.99%, indicating strong debt repayment capability [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 18.38%, slightly down from 20.01% in the previous year but still above the industry average of 11.58%, reflecting robust profitability [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 16.59% to 44,000, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 19.90% to 48,200 [5] Executive Compensation - The chairman, Chang Huaichun, received a salary of 4.4416 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 287,800 yuan from 2023, while the general manager, Qi Shaoqing, earned 3.4093 million yuan, up by 504,300 yuan from the previous year [4] Business Highlights - The company experienced a slight decline in net profit and revenue in Q3 2025, with revenue at 77.89 billion yuan (down 5.07% year-on-year) and net profit at 8.05 billion yuan (down 2.38% year-on-year) [6][7] - Key business developments include increased production and sales of core products, stable operations at the Jingzhou base, and new projects at the Dezhou base expected to enhance profitability [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in third-quarter performance, with revenue of 23.55 billion yuan, down 6.46% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.37 billion yuan, down 22.14% year-on-year [1][7]. - Despite the decrease in product prices, the company managed to mitigate performance pressure through increased sales volume, particularly in new energy materials and chemical fertilizers [7]. - The company is actively advancing project launches and has several new projects in the pipeline, which are expected to enhance future growth potential [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company reported total revenue of 27.26 billion yuan for 2023, with a projected decline of 10% year-on-year, followed by a recovery of 26% in 2024 [2][14]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 3.24 billion yuan, reflecting a 17% decrease from the previous year, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 1.53 yuan [2][14]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 15.0 for 2023, expected to decrease to 12.2 by 2027, indicating a potential undervaluation [2][14]. Sales and Production Insights - The average selling prices of core products have decreased year-on-year, with significant drops in new energy materials and chemical fertilizers, but sales volumes have increased, helping to offset revenue declines [7]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 19.1% in the third quarter, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, despite a slight decline from the previous quarter [7]. Project Development - The company is efficiently advancing project launches, with several new projects already in the preparatory stages, including a 20,000-ton BDO project and a 30.39 billion yuan investment in a gasification platform upgrade [7].

Group 1 - Hubei Yihua (SZ 000422) held its 54th meeting of the 10th board of directors on October 24, 2025, to discuss the proposal for issuing convertible bonds to unspecified targets [1] - For the first half of 2025, Hubei Yihua's revenue composition was as follows: chemical fertilizer manufacturing accounted for 39.93%, chemical products 36.08%, other industries 12.07%, and coal products 11.92% [1] - As of the report date, Hubei Yihua's market capitalization was 14.5 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The Chinese innovative drug sector has generated $80 billion in overseas licensing deals this year, indicating a robust market for biopharmaceuticals [1] - Despite the hot secondary market for biopharmaceuticals, the primary market is experiencing a cooling in fundraising activities [1]

Group 1 - Hubei Yihua announced a provision for asset impairment of approximately 119 million yuan, which will reduce the company's consolidated profit before tax for the first three quarters of 2025 by the same amount [1] - The provision for asset impairment has not been audited by an accounting firm, and the final amount will be confirmed by the audit [1] - As of the report date, Hubei Yihua has a market capitalization of 14.5 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, Hubei Yihua's revenue composition is as follows: chemical fertilizer manufacturing accounts for 39.93%, chemical products for 36.08%, other industries for 12.07%, and coal products for 11.92% [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Shandong Hualu-Hengsheng Chemical, with a target price of 31.32 yuan based on a 14.5x PE for FY26 [3][13]. Core Insights - The company has shown a month-on-month net profit increase of 21.95% in Q2 2025, despite a year-on-year revenue decline of 7.14% [4][15]. - The integrated projects are expected to enhance the product structure, with a total investment of 3.387 billion yuan aimed at producing 200,000 tons of BDO and 160,000 tons of NMP annually [4][15]. - The gasification platform upgrade project is projected to generate an average annual revenue of 3.665 billion yuan post-completion, with a total investment of 3.039 billion yuan [4][15]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is forecasted to achieve a net profit of 3.700 billion yuan, with revenues expected to decline by 2.5% to 33.376 billion yuan [5]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was reported at 19.63%, showing a month-on-month increase of 3.28 percentage points [4][15]. - The company’s sales volume for chemical fertilizers and organic amines increased by 13.62% and 33.21% respectively in H1 2025 [4][15].