化工重仓股配置

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24Q4及25Q1公募基金化工重仓股分析:24Q4及25Q1公募基金化工重仓股配置环比下降,原油标的及传统白马配置下滑,制冷剂、新材料提升
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-13 09:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" investment rating for the public fund's heavy positions in the chemical sector for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [2]. Core Insights - The overall allocation of public funds in the chemical sector has seen a continuous decline, with the proportion of heavy chemical positions dropping from 2.50% in Q4 2024 to 1.99% in Q1 2025, indicating a position below historical averages [4][10]. - The top ten heavy positions in the chemical sector have experienced a significant decrease in market value share, influenced by fluctuating oil prices and trade barrier concerns, while certain high-certainty price elastic chemicals and new materials have seen an increase in their allocation [4][16]. - The total market value of chemical holdings by public funds has consistently declined, with the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stock market value falling by 20.2% to 66.312 billion yuan in Q4 2024 and by 20.4% to 52.816 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [32][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Public Fund Holdings in the Chemical Sector - The national heavy chemical allocation has decreased, with regional allocations in East China dropping from 3.03% to 2.05%, South China from 2.92% to 2.32%, and North China from 2.37% to 1.40% [10]. - The number of funds holding major chemical stocks has decreased, with notable declines in traditional blue-chip stocks due to trade barrier concerns, while some high-dividend stocks have seen an increase in fund holdings [22][27]. 2. Market Value and Concentration of Chemical Holdings - The market value of the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stocks has decreased significantly, with a drop in concentration from 90.36% to 87.39% of total heavy chemical stock market value [32][34]. - The top holdings include WanHua Chemical, SaiLun Tire, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, with WanHua Chemical's market value share decreasing from 14.03% to 12.72% [32][34].