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【基础化工】25H1化肥企业业绩增长亮眼,关注产业资源优势及后续旺季需求——行业周报(0714-0720)(赵乃迪/周家诺)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-19 13:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant performance growth in the phosphate and potash fertilizer industries during the first half of 2025, driven by both volume and price increases [2] - In the phosphate industry, companies like Chuanheng Co., Batian Co., and Chuanjinno achieved substantial performance growth, supported by a favorable phosphate rock market [2][3] - The average price of domestic 30% grade phosphate rock in the first half of 2025 was approximately 1019 RMB/ton, reflecting a slight increase of about 9.8 RMB/ton compared to the first half of 2024 [2] Group 2 - In the potash fertilizer sector, companies such as Yaqi International, Dongfang Tieta, and Cangge Mining also reported significant profit growth, with Yaqi International's net profit increasing by 207% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [2] - The primary driver for the profit increase in potash companies was the notable rise in the price of potassium chloride, which saw an approximate increase of 14.8% compared to the first half of 2024 [2] - The article indicates that the new phosphate rock production capacity expected to be added from 2025 to 2029 may be delayed due to stricter environmental policies, which could maintain the high market conditions for phosphate rock in the short to medium term [3] Group 3 - A meeting held on July 15 announced measures to strengthen the supply of potash fertilizers, with expectations that prices will gradually return to reasonable levels due to increased market supply [4] - Despite potential price declines, domestic potash fertilizer companies are expected to maintain good profitability due to effective cost control and continuous production increases [5] - The article notes that the price gap between domestic and overseas phosphate ammonium is significant, with overseas prices being 57.2% and 42.5% higher than domestic prices for monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate, respectively [3]