Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing "decoupling" between the US and China, highlighting the shift from cooperation to competition, and the implications for global trade, investment, and technology [2][3][4]. Trade Implications - The US has maintained high tariffs on Chinese goods since 2018, with an average tariff expected to exceed 20% under a potential second Trump administration, affecting various industries [3] - Companies have relocated production to countries like Vietnam, Mexico, and Malaysia to mitigate the impact of tariffs, resulting in a significant shift in supply chains [3] - The change in origin labels from "Made in China" to "Made in Vietnam" illustrates the transformation in sourcing strategies [3] Capital and Technology Decoupling - US venture capital, once a driving force for Chinese tech startups, has largely withdrawn, with increased scrutiny on foreign investments in sensitive sectors like chips and AI [3] - The concept of "regionalized operations" is emerging, where sensitive technologies remain in the US while lower-value industries are outsourced [3][4] Psychological Shift - There is a growing consensus in the US across various sectors that reliance on China poses risks, prompting a desire to diversify supply chains [4] China's Response - The Chinese government is promoting a "self-sufficiency" movement in technology, driven by past experiences like the Huawei incident [5] - The relationship between the US and China is evolving towards a "gradual distancing" rather than a complete separation, as seen in the production strategies of companies like Apple [5] Economic Impact - The decoupling is expected to lead to higher production costs and persistent inflation in the US, while China may face reduced exports and foreign investment, impacting growth potential [6] - In 2025, foreign direct investment in China is projected to be $23.2 billion, the second-lowest level since 2003 [6] Global Economic Trends - The world is transitioning from "global integration" to "regional multipolarity," creating new investment opportunities in various regions [7] - The decoupling is not a temporary issue but a long-term reality, requiring investors to adapt their strategies to find new opportunities in a changing landscape [7]