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迈瑞医疗(300760):3Q25收入端拐点已如期显现
HTSC· 2025-10-30 12:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 313.62 [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown a revenue turning point in Q3 2025, with a revenue of RMB 90.91 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 25.01 billion, down 18.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its commercialization and R&D capabilities to improve its competitive position in the market [2]. - The life information and support segment led the overall revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a revenue of RMB 29.52 billion, up 2.6% year-on-year [3]. - The overseas business has accelerated growth, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching RMB 46.0 billion, up 11.9% year-on-year, while domestic revenue showed signs of recovery [4]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profit estimates of RMB 90.08 billion, RMB 100.07 billion, and RMB 110.12 billion respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 18%-21% compared to previous estimates [5]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of RMB 258.34 billion and a net profit of RMB 75.70 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 12.4% and 28.8% respectively [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 62.0%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to short-term external factors in the domestic industry [2]. - The company’s sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for the first three quarters of 2025 were 14.5%, 4.1%, and 9.4% respectively, indicating strategic investments in long-term development [2]. Segment Performance - The life information and support segment's overseas revenue accounted for 70% of its total revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by a recovery in domestic procurement activities [3]. - The medical imaging segment reported a revenue of RMB 16.89 billion in Q3 2025, remaining stable year-on-year, with overseas revenue showing high single-digit growth [3]. - The IVD segment generated RMB 36.34 billion in revenue in Q3 2025, down 2.8% year-on-year, but with overseas revenue growth exceeding 10% [3]. Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about its future performance due to a rich product matrix, leading industry performance, and ongoing improvements in domestic and overseas sales networks [1]. - The company’s overseas market development is progressing well, particularly in Europe and emerging markets, which is expected to contribute positively to future growth [4].