医美行业整合
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化妆品医美行业周报:天猫双11国货开门红,毛戈平上美强者恒强-20251019
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-19 12:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the cosmetics and medical beauty industry [2]. Core Views - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector has shown stronger performance than the market, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index declining by 2.5% from October 10 to October 17, 2025, which is better than the overall market performance [4][5]. - The Tmall Double 11 event has seen significant success for domestic brands, with brands like Maogeping experiencing high demand and sold-out products [10]. - The overall performance for Q3 2025 is expected to meet expectations, with a continued upward trend into Q4, driven by promotional events [11][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector outperformed the market during the specified period, with the Shenwan Cosmetics Index down by 1.1%, which is 2.3 percentage points better than the Shenwan A Index [4][5]. - Key stocks in the sector included Jiaheng Jiahua (+35.0%), Yiyi Co. (+18.6%), and Yanjing Co. (+15.6%) [6]. Market Trends - The Tmall Double 11 event on October 15 attracted over 10 million viewers, with domestic brands like Maogeping experiencing supply shortages due to high demand [10]. - The overall sales performance is expected to improve in the coming weeks, particularly with the upcoming Douyin Double 11 event [10]. Q3 Performance Outlook - The demand for cosmetics remains robust, with retail sales growth in July and August outpacing the overall market [11]. - The total retail sales of cosmetics for the first eight months of 2025 reached 291.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [11]. - Domestic brands are leveraging online channels effectively, with Han Shu achieving over 2 billion yuan in GMV in Q3 [12]. Company Highlights - Han Shu announced a global partnership with Wang Jiaer, enhancing its international presence and brand recognition [19][22]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong channel and brand matrices, such as Maogeping, Shanghai Jahwa, and Up Beauty [14]. E-commerce Data - The report highlights significant growth in e-commerce sales for various brands, with Han Shu achieving a 37% increase in GMV [15]. - The overall e-commerce landscape for domestic brands is expected to continue thriving, supported by promotional events and strategic partnerships [15][18]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the Chinese skincare market is projected to reach 271.2 billion yuan in 2024, despite a slight decline in growth [26]. - Domestic brands are increasingly capturing market share, with a notable presence in the top ten rankings [26][27]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests investing in companies with strong growth potential and robust product pipelines, particularly in the cosmetics and medical beauty sectors [14]. - Specific recommendations include Maogeping, Up Beauty, and Shanghai Jahwa for cosmetics, and Aimeike for medical beauty [14].