半导体产业链生态
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心智观察所:等死与找死?FD-SOI何以成为中国半导体的一条活路
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-30 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The FD-SOI technology, once abandoned by the mainstream semiconductor industry, is now emerging as a viable alternative for China's semiconductor sector amidst geopolitical challenges and supply chain constraints [2][21]. Group 1: Historical Context - In the early 2010s, Soitec, a leader in SOI substrate materials, faced severe financial difficulties due to the slow growth of the FD-SOI market, relying on government loans to survive [1]. - The Chinese National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund (the "Big Fund") considered investing in Soitec but ultimately opted for FinFET technology, reflecting a widespread belief that pursuing FD-SOI was a dead end [1][2]. Group 2: Technological Divergence - The divergence in technology routes began in the late 1990s when two solutions were proposed to overcome the limitations of CMOS technology: FinFET and FD-SOI [3][5]. - FinFET technology enhances control over electrical currents by adopting a three-dimensional structure, while FD-SOI employs an insulating layer to prevent leakage, offering a simpler manufacturing process [5][7]. Group 3: Industry Response - The semiconductor industry overwhelmingly favored FinFET due to its compatibility with existing processes and the perceived challenges of FD-SOI, particularly its stringent substrate requirements [9][10]. - Intel's decision to focus solely on FinFET led to a domino effect, with TSMC and other companies following suit, effectively sidelining FD-SOI [9][10]. Group 4: Strategic Investment - In 2016, Shanghai Silicon Industry Investment Co. strategically invested in Soitec, acquiring approximately 14.5% of its shares, which facilitated access to the Smart-Cut technology essential for FD-SOI [10][12]. - This investment not only saved Soitec but also strengthened the collaboration between Chinese firms and French technology, laying the groundwork for China's capabilities in FD-SOI [12]. Group 5: Current Market Dynamics - FD-SOI technology is gaining traction as a cost-effective alternative to FinFET, particularly in applications requiring lower power consumption, such as IoT and automotive electronics [13][21]. - The global FD-SOI market is projected to grow from approximately $700 million in 2022 to over $4 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 30% [20][21]. Group 6: Ecosystem Development - Over the past decade, a complete FD-SOI ecosystem has been developing in China, encompassing substrate materials, wafer foundries, EDA tools, and IP design [16][17]. - Key players include GlobalFoundries, which has been a major proponent of FD-SOI technology, and various Chinese companies adopting FD-SOI for IoT chip designs [16][17]. Group 7: Challenges Ahead - Despite progress, the FD-SOI ecosystem faces challenges, including a smaller market presence compared to FinFET and higher substrate costs, which hinder widespread adoption [18][19]. - The lack of local foundry capacity for advanced FD-SOI processes remains a significant barrier, necessitating reliance on overseas production facilities [19]. Group 8: Future Outlook - The potential for integrating SOI substrates with FinFET structures is being explored, indicating that both technologies may coexist and serve different market needs [20][21]. - FD-SOI's strategic value for China's semiconductor industry lies in its ability to maintain technological development in a constrained environment, providing a pragmatic approach to addressing supply chain vulnerabilities [21][22].