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“日本开始军事介入南海,非常负面”
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-15 00:55
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing provocations by the Philippines in the South China Sea, supported by the U.S. and Japan, and emphasizes that resolving the South China Sea disputes may take generations due to the complexity and number of involved parties [1][3]. Group 1: Philippines' Actions - Multiple Philippine vessels have been sent to the Spratly Islands under the guise of fishing, prompting the Chinese Coast Guard to take necessary control measures [1]. - The Philippines is intensifying unilateral provocative actions in the South China Sea, influenced by U.S. support and Japan's involvement [2]. Group 2: Japan's Involvement - Japan has been increasingly involved in South China Sea affairs, including informal discussions with the Philippines regarding military equipment and establishing a munitions depot on Palawan Island, only 200 kilometers from Huangyan Island [2]. - Japan's South China Sea policy has shifted significantly over the past decade, moving from a neutral stance to active military engagement alongside the U.S. and the Philippines [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The overall peace and stability in the South China Sea is not expected to undergo significant changes in the next five to ten years, primarily due to China's presence as the largest coastal state [3]. - The resolution of the South China Sea disputes is anticipated to require several generations of effort, given the complexity of the territorial claims and the number of countries involved [3].
“日本开始军事介入南海,非常负面”
中国基金报· 2025-12-15 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing unilateral provocations by the Philippines in the South China Sea, influenced by the support from the United States and Japan, and emphasizes that resolving the South China Sea disputes may take generations of effort [2][6]. Group 1: Philippines' Actions - Multiple Philippine vessels have been sent to the Xianbin Reef area under the pretext of fishing, prompting necessary control measures from the Chinese Coast Guard [2]. - The Philippines is intensifying its provocative actions in the South China Sea, particularly under the influence of the U.S. and Japan [2][4]. Group 2: Japan's Involvement - Japan has significantly increased its involvement in South China Sea affairs, including informal discussions with the Philippines regarding the export of defense equipment [4]. - The signing of the Japan-Philippines Reciprocal Access Agreement has paved the way for the regular deployment of Japanese Self-Defense Forces in the Philippines [4]. - Japan's role in the South China Sea arbitration case has been criticized, with claims that it acted as a puppet for the U.S. during the proceedings [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The overall peace and stability in the South China Sea is not expected to undergo significant changes in the next five to ten years due to China's presence as the largest coastal state [7]. - Localized conflicts and disputes may still occur, driven by certain countries taking unilateral actions to consolidate their interests before reaching a consensus on the "Code of Conduct" [7][8]. - A comprehensive resolution of the South China Sea disputes is anticipated to require efforts spanning several generations due to the complexity and number of involved parties [6][8].