12月12日，菲律宾多批船只以捕鱼为名赴南沙群岛仙宾礁海域滋事挑衅，中国海警对菲方船只依法依规 采取喊话警告、外逼驱离等必要管控措施。 近日在海南三亚举办的第六届"海洋合作与治理论坛"上， 华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南海研究院学术委员会主席吴士存接受北京日报记者专访时说，在美国 支持和日本因素的影响下，菲律宾在南海岛礁的单边挑衅行动仍在加强。日本在南海问题上总是跳得很 高、积极介入，产生了非常负面且有破坏性的作用。未来五到十年南海和平稳定的大格局不会发生颠覆 性变化，但彻底解决南海争端可能需要几代人的努力。 日本对南海的介入 需要几代人努力 （原标题："日本开始军事介入南海，非常负面"） 展望未来，吴士存说，南海区域大的和平稳定格局在五到十年里不会发生颠覆性的变化，因为有中国的 存在。中国是南海诸岛唯一的真正的主人，又是南海最大的沿岸国，中国能稳得住，南海就不会出现大 乱。一些小的挑衅行动，中国也能摁得住。 随着美国南海政策不再中立而是选边站，加上仲裁裁决负 面影响，一些声索国会利用"南海行为准则"（COC）磋商达成共识前的窗口期，在南海通过单边行动巩 固和扩大既得利益。因此，南海的局部性冲突，中国与某些国 ...

来源：北京日报 12月12日，菲律宾多批船只以捕鱼为名赴南沙群岛仙宾礁海域滋事挑衅，中国海警对菲方 船只依法依规采取喊话警告、外逼驱离等必要管控措施。 近日在海南三亚举办的第六届"海洋合作与治理论坛"上，华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南 海研究院学术委员会主席吴士存接受北京日报记者专访时说，在美国支持和日本因素的影响 下，菲律宾在南海岛礁的单边挑衅行动仍在加强。 日本在南海问题上总是跳得很高、积极 介入，产生了非常负面且有破坏性的作用。 未来五到十年南海和平稳定的大格局不会发生 颠覆性变化，但彻底解决南海争端可能需要几代人的努力。 日本对南海的介入 非常负面、有破坏性 日本近年来不断加强对南海事务的介入，近期已就出口自卫队装备的"03式中程地对空导 弹"与菲律宾展开非正式磋商。今年9月日菲《互惠准入协定》生效后， 日本已在为自卫队 在菲常态化部署铺路。日本还在菲律宾巴拉望岛建成弹药库，距黄岩岛仅200公里。 2012年，吴士存赴日本进行学术交流时，还有日本官方智库人士表示日本对南海的关切只 是航行安全，在南海问题上不持立场。但近十年来，日本南海政策发生了大幅调整。从小马 科斯政权上台以来，日本和菲律宾签署了《互 ...

12月12日，菲律宾多批船只以捕鱼为名赴南沙群岛仙宾礁海域滋事挑衅，中国海警对菲方船只依法 依规采取喊话警告、外逼驱离等必要管控措施。 近日在海南三亚举办的第六届"海洋合作与治理论坛"上，华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南海研究 院学术委员会主席吴士存接受北京日报客户端记者专访时说，在美国支持和日本因素的影响下，菲律 宾在南海岛礁的单边挑衅行动仍在加强。日本在南海问题上总是跳得很高、积极介入，产生了非常负 面且有破坏性的作用。未来五到十年南海和平稳定的大格局不会发生颠覆性变化，但彻底解决南海争 端可能需要几代人的努力。 华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南海研究院学术委员会主席吴士存。 来源：北京日报 特朗普南海政策更多诉诸军事手段 吴士存表示，他原本预判特朗普第二任期的南海政策可能需要一年左右时间才会成型，现在来看是萧 规曹随，基本延续了拜登政府的南海政策。但特朗普更多诉诸军事手段，美国防长3月底访问菲律宾 后，双方在南海的联合军事演习、军事基地建设、武器销售转让、情报共享等在加强。 吴士存说，特朗普南海政策实际上在第一任期就已经形成，放弃了中立。2020年7月13日，时任美 国国务卿蓬佩奥在南海仲裁裁决出炉四周年之 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of National Defense criticizes the Philippines for provoking China in the South China Sea and aligning with external forces, labeling the Philippines as a troublemaker and a danger creator [1] Group 1: Philippines' Defense Strategy - The Philippines is shifting its military focus from internal insurgency to external defense, particularly against what it describes as China's "aggressive" actions in the South China Sea [1] - The Philippines is enhancing defense cooperation with the United States, Australia, Japan, and India [1] Group 2: China's Response - China asserts that the territorial boundaries of the Philippines have been established by international treaties, claiming that the South China Sea islands are outside Philippine territory [1] - China accuses the Philippines of illegally occupying parts of the Nansha Islands and frequently provoking China at sea [1] - China emphasizes its unwavering determination to safeguard national territorial sovereignty and maritime rights, vowing to respond firmly to Philippine provocations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Defense criticizes the Philippines for shifting its military focus from internal insurgency to external defense against perceived Chinese aggression in the South China Sea, labeling the Philippines as a troublemaker and provocateur in the region [1] Group 1: Philippines' Military Strategy - The Philippines is reportedly transitioning its military focus towards external defense, particularly in response to China's actions in the South China Sea [1] - The Philippines is enhancing defense cooperation with the United States, Australia, Japan, and India [1] Group 2: China's Response - The Chinese spokesperson asserts that the Philippines' claims are a distortion of facts and emphasizes that the South China Sea islands are outside Philippine territory as defined by international treaties [1] - China accuses the Philippines of illegally occupying parts of the Nansha Islands and engaging in provocative actions against Chinese interests [1] - China reaffirms its commitment to safeguarding national territorial sovereignty and maritime rights, stating it will respond firmly to Philippine provocations [1]

Group 1 - The Philippines has reached an agreement with Canada on a "Visiting Forces Agreement" to facilitate joint military exercises, indicating a focus on defense cooperation under the Marcos administration [1] - The Philippines is also negotiating similar military agreements with France and deepening defense cooperation with India, which are seen as measures to enhance deterrence capabilities against perceived threats, particularly from China [1] - The South China Sea dispute is intensifying, with the Philippines accusing China of "illegal invasion," which is framed as a significant security concern [1] Group 2 - An international academic seminar titled "South China Sea: History and Reality" was held in Beijing, attended by over 150 experts and representatives from various countries, discussing topics related to sovereignty and international order in the South China Sea [2] - Wu Shicun emphasized that China's historical and legal claims over the South China Sea are well-founded, asserting that the disputes stem from illegal occupations by countries like the Philippines and Vietnam since the 1970s [2] - The 2016 South China Sea arbitration ruling is criticized as invalid due to jurisdictional overreach and factual errors, with claims that it undermines stability in the region [2][3] Group 3 - Experts at the seminar highlighted that the South China Sea issue is a focal point of tension between China and the Philippines, primarily revolving around territorial disputes and maritime jurisdiction [3] - The current Philippine government's alignment with the United States is viewed as complicating the situation, with calls for rebuilding mutual trust to resolve disputes [3]

Core Viewpoint - The screening of a documentary about the Philippines' illegal resupply operations in the South China Sea at New Zealand's "Edge" Film Festival has sparked significant local media attention and a formal protest from the Chinese consulate in Auckland, which claims the film contains false information and propaganda [1][2]. Group 1: Documentary and Film Festival - A documentary directed by Filipino filmmaker Vera Lamama, focusing on the Philippines' illegal resupply operations at the Ren'ai Reef, was screened and awarded at the "Edge" Film Festival in New Zealand on June 30 [1]. - The film was initially scheduled to be shown at the Quezon City Film Festival in the Philippines in March but was ultimately withdrawn [1]. - The festival organizers received multiple complaints requesting the film's removal but decided to proceed with the screening [1]. Group 2: Diplomatic Reactions - The Chinese consulate in Auckland issued a formal letter of protest to the film festival organizers, stating that the documentary is filled with false information and serves as a political tool for the Philippines [2]. - The consulate emphasized the importance of public content reflecting reality rather than spreading misinformation and called for peaceful dispute resolution [2]. - The consulate also expressed hope that external countries would play a constructive role rather than exacerbating tensions [2].

Group 1 - The video released by the US Embassy in Singapore drew criticism for comparing China's claims in the South China Sea to Singapore's public housing disputes [1] - Singapore's Ministry of Foreign Affairs rejected foreign embassies inciting domestic reactions to international issues involving third countries [1] - The video depicted Singapore's public housing and suggested that China's actions in the South China Sea were akin to neighbors occupying shared spaces, which sparked backlash from netizens [1] Group 2 - The US and China engaged in a heated debate at the UN Security Council regarding maritime security, with the US accusing China of threatening stability in the South China Sea [2] - China's representative firmly opposed the US claims, stating that the US is the biggest threat to security and stability in the region due to its military presence and provocations [2]