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南山铝业:印尼电解铝项目顺利推进,积极分红回馈股东-20260330
China Post Securities· 2026-03-30 10:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 34.62 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.41%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.96% to 4.736 billion yuan [4] - The decline in performance is primarily attributed to a 21.49% drop in alumina prices, which led to a 12.32% decrease in overall alumina business gross margin [4] - The company is actively expanding its high-end product offerings, with the proportion of high-value products like automotive and aerospace plates increasing by 2 percentage points to 16% [5] - The company is progressing with its Indonesian electrolytic aluminum project and plans to increase production capacity in alumina and electrolytic aluminum [5][6] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 34.62 billion yuan in 2025, with projected revenues of 36.18 billion yuan, 37.61 billion yuan, and 39.45 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 4.51%, 3.95%, and 4.89% [10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow to 5.00 billion yuan, 5.58 billion yuan, and 6.08 billion yuan in the next three years, with respective growth rates of 5.59%, 11.59%, and 9.04% [10] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.44 yuan, 0.49 yuan, and 0.53 yuan for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 [10] Dividend Policy - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, with a total cash dividend of 4.62 billion yuan and 29.72 billion yuan distributed in 2025, resulting in a cumulative dividend payout ratio of 105.49% [6] - The company plans to distribute at least 40% of its distributable profits in cash annually from 2024 to 2026 and intends to repurchase shares with a minimum of 300 million yuan each year [6]