自民党"二把手"、干事长森山裕在会上说，自民党将组建一个委员会分析选举失败原因，预计在8月底前作出内部报告，他将在报告完成后决定 自己的去留。 新华社北京7月29日电 日本执政党自由民主党在国会参议院选举中惨败后，自民党内要求党总裁、首相石破茂辞职的呼声渐高。石破茂28日重申 留任意向，称这样做是为避免出现政治真空。 石破茂当天在自民党国会参众两院议员恳谈会上说，许多议员在参议院选举中失去议席，他对此深表歉意。尽管如此，他仍寻求自民党议员支 持，表示将"尽全力"让选民看到自民党在选举失败后发生改变。按石破茂的说法，日本正面临"国家危机"，他需要留任以避免出现政治真空。 在本月20日举行的日本参议院选举中，由自民党和公明党组成的执政联盟获得47席，加上非改选的议席未能超过半数，无法维持参议院多数。加 之去年10月众议院选举后议席也未过半，执政联盟正式转为"参众两院少数政权"。这是1955年自民党成立以来，该党领导的政权首次在两院同时 失去多数席位。 按日本媒体说法，石破茂的最新表态未能平息自民党内要求他辞职的呼声。截至28日，自民党在日本全国47个都道府县所设分支机构中，已有11 个公开要求石破茂提前下台，另有 ...

Group 1 - The core issue in Japanese politics is the potential resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba following the ruling coalition's defeat in the July 20 Senate elections, which has led to a significant drop in his cabinet's approval ratings [1][2][4] - The ruling coalition, consisting of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito, has lost its majority in both houses of the National Diet for the first time since the LDP's establishment in 1955, raising concerns about the stability of Ishiba's government [2][4] - Ishiba's leadership is under pressure from within the LDP, with calls for accountability regarding the election loss, and some party members reportedly collaborating with media to push for his resignation [3][4][6] Group 2 - The recent Senate election results reflect a shift in Japan's political landscape, with the emergence of the populist conservative party, which gained 14 seats, indicating a fragmentation of the traditional political order dominated by the LDP and Komeito [9][10] - The LDP's loss of majority status complicates its ability to pass legislation, necessitating cooperation with opposition parties on key issues, which may lead to increased compromises [8][10] - The rise of the new conservative party and its anti-immigration stance has sparked controversy and could impact Japan's international relations, particularly with neighboring Asian countries [9][10]

新华社东京7月21日电 热点问答｜这次失利，对日本执政联盟意味着什么 新华社记者李子越 陈泽安 日本第27届参议院选举结果21日揭晓，执政联盟未能获得过半席位，无法维持参议院多数。首相石 破茂21日在记者会上表示，他将继续担任首相，并且目前无意扩大执政联盟。 石破茂选择留任的重要考量是日美关税谈判正处于最后关键阶段。根据此前各方判断，日美双方在 选前难以展开实质性磋商，真正的谈判窗口仅剩10天左右时间，即从投票结束到8月1日美方可能启动加 税前的这段时间。自民党内部有声音认为，部分在野党也可能出于国家利益考虑，对首相留任表达一定 程度的理解。 从制度层面来看，参议院选举与众议院不同，不涉及"首相指名选举"这一环节，即无需在流程上重 新选举首相。而且在野党在宪法、安全保障等关键政策上分歧明显，短时间内形成合力提出不信任案、 推翻现政权的可能性较低。因此，在石破本人不主动辞职的前提下，其首相之位短期内或得以维持。 日本媒体指出，本次选举结果可能成为左右日本政局走向的分水岭。执政联盟缘何失利？石破茂短 期内是否会下台？其内阁执政前景如何？ 执政联盟失利原因 日本参议院选举结果显示，由自民党和公明党组成的执政联盟获得 ...

Core Points - The ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito failed to secure a majority in the recent Japanese Senate elections, marking the first time since the LDP's establishment in 1955 that it has lost majority seats in both houses simultaneously [1][3] - Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stated he would continue to serve despite the coalition's losses, indicating a commitment to his role [1][6] - Analysts attribute the coalition's defeat to public dissatisfaction with rising prices, ineffective policy responses, and an aging image of traditional parties, revealing deeper crises in policy response and public communication [3][4] Election Results - The ruling coalition obtained a total of 47 seats, falling short of the 50-seat majority target [3] - The coalition's loss in the Senate follows a previous failure to secure a majority in the House of Representatives, officially transitioning to a minority government [3] Public Sentiment - Ishiba's cabinet support rate has dropped to 20.8%, the lowest since he took office, with over 40% of respondents citing a lack of leadership and policy failures as reasons for their discontent [4][6] - The decline in real wages, which fell by 2.9% year-on-year, has significantly reduced household purchasing power, leading to increased public frustration [3] Political Landscape - The absence of a mandatory re-election process for the Prime Minister in the Senate allows Ishiba to remain in power despite the losses [7] - The fragmented opposition parties are unlikely to unite quickly to propose a no-confidence motion against Ishiba, allowing him to potentially stay in office for the short term [7] Trade Negotiations - The ongoing U.S.-Japan trade negotiations are critical, with U.S. President Trump pressuring Japan for potential tariffs, which complicates the political situation for Ishiba [9] - Analysts express concerns about Japan's bargaining power being weakened due to the coalition's diminished status, complicating negotiations on tariffs in key sectors like agriculture and automobiles [9][10] Future Challenges - The ruling coalition will face significant challenges in the upcoming extraordinary Diet session, where it must secure support for the 2025 supplementary budget addressing price measures and U.S. tariff responses [10]

Core Viewpoint - The ruling coalition in Japan, consisting of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito, has lost its majority in both houses of the National Diet, leading to increased pressure on Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and uncertainty in Japan's political landscape and foreign relations [1][2]. Election Results - The Japanese House of Councillors has 248 seats, with 125 contested in the recent election. The ruling coalition secured only 47 seats, failing to achieve a majority, marking the first time since the LDP's establishment in 1955 that it has lost majority control in both houses [2][3]. - The LDP's performance was particularly poor in local and major urban districts, winning only 14 out of 32 single-member districts, and losing significant ground in traditional strongholds [2][3]. Reasons for Defeat - Public dissatisfaction with rising prices and the government's inadequate response has been identified as a primary reason for the ruling coalition's defeat. Voter concerns about inflation, particularly in rice prices, have overshadowed other issues, with many voters prioritizing "price countermeasures" [3][4]. - The LDP's cash handout policy of 20,000 yen per person was criticized as ineffective and insufficient to alleviate the economic burden on citizens, contributing to a decline in public support for Ishiba's cabinet, which fell to 20.8%, nearing the threshold for political instability [3][4]. Shift in Voter Sentiment - There is a growing fatigue among voters towards traditional parties, with new parties like the Constitutional Democratic Party and the emerging populist party gaining traction. The former increased its seats from 9 to 22, while the latter rose from 1 to 15 [4]. - The new parties have resonated with voters by addressing issues such as tax exemptions for workers and anti-foreign sentiment, utilizing social media effectively to mobilize support [4]. Challenges in U.S. Negotiations - Despite the election setback, Ishiba has stated he will not resign, with some within the LDP suggesting that maintaining continuity in U.S. negotiations is crucial [5]. - The U.S. has indicated potential tariffs on Japan, complicating the government's bargaining position. Analysts express concerns that the weakened ruling party may struggle to secure domestic support for concessions in sensitive areas like agriculture and automobiles [6][7]. Future Governance Outlook - The ruling coalition's minority status will necessitate greater reliance on opposition parties for policy implementation, particularly in the upcoming extraordinary Diet session [7]. - There are rising calls within the LDP for Ishiba to step down, with discussions about a leadership change already underway, reflecting historical precedents where leaders resigned following electoral defeats [7].