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银河证券年度策略报告会:以“ReNew”框架刻画经济走势 盈利有望接棒估值成为市场焦点
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 13:48
Core Insights - The China Galaxy Securities 2026 Strategy Conference focused on macroeconomic trends and industry transformation opportunities, emphasizing the importance of capital markets in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] Group 1: Economic Outlook - The global economy is expected to experience a "new pattern, new cycle," while China will see a "new blueprint, new starting point, new quality productivity" in 2026 [2] - China Galaxy Securities anticipates that macroeconomic policies will maintain continuity and stability, with a focus on domestic circulation, a deficit rate of 4%, and a moderately loose monetary policy [2] Group 2: Market Valuation and Investment Strategy - Current A-share valuations are considered relatively reasonable, with earnings expected to become the focal point for the market in 2026 [3] - The company suggests focusing on two main lines and two auxiliary lines for investment, particularly in new quality productivity and the recovery paths of manufacturing and resource sectors [3] Group 3: Consumer Market Insights - In 2026, consumer policies are expected to bolster domestic demand, with government subsidies likely to exceed market expectations [3] - The technology and new consumption sectors, along with competitive overseas business opportunities, are highlighted as key areas for investment [3]