可选消费板块表现
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可选消费W52周度趋势解析:A/H和海外市场以出行为主的可选消费板块景气度较高-20251228
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-28 14:24
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary sector, including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric Appliances, Anta Sports, and others [2]. Core Insights - The discretionary sector in A/H and overseas markets shows high sentiment, primarily driven by travel-related sectors [2]. - The report highlights a significant increase in consumer spending in Hainan due to duty-free shopping, with a notable rise in shopping amounts and visitor numbers [7]. - The overall performance of various sub-sectors indicates a mixed sentiment, with gambling and retail sectors performing well, while luxury goods and domestic sportswear sectors faced declines [5][12]. Summary by Relevant Sections Weekly Performance Review - The gambling sector saw a weekly increase of 2.1%, driven by rising gross gaming revenue in Macau and a rebound in the Hong Kong stock market [7]. - The retail sector increased by 1.9%, with China Duty Free Group rising by 11.5% due to strong consumer activity in Hainan [7]. - The jewelry sector rose by 1.6%, supported by festive activities and consumer sentiment [7]. - The domestic cosmetics sector increased by 0.4%, while the overseas sportswear sector rose by 0.3%, with Nike's stock boosted by insider buying [9][14]. - Conversely, the luxury goods sector declined by 1.3%, and the domestic sportswear sector fell by 1.1% due to disappointing sales figures [9][14]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that most sectors are valued below their historical averages, with the overseas sportswear sector expected to have a PE ratio of 31.0, which is 58% of its past five-year average [10][15]. - The domestic sportswear sector's expected PE is 13.7, at 72% of its historical average, while the jewelry sector's expected PE is 22.8, at 43% of its historical average [10][15]. - The luxury goods sector's expected PE is 27.1, at 49% of its historical average, indicating potential investment opportunities [10][15].