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国际观察丨日本首位女首相:拜相路涉险 执政路更险
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-22 00:49
Core Points - The election of Sanna Takashi as Japan's first female Prime Minister marks a significant political shift, but her path to leadership has been fraught with challenges, particularly following the exit of the Komeito party from the ruling coalition [1][4] - Analysts suggest that Takashi's government is likely to exhibit a pronounced rightward shift in policy, especially in security and defense matters, due to the alliance with the Japan Innovation Party [7][10] Election Process - The Prime Minister was elected through a two-round voting process in the National Diet, where Takashi won in the House of Representatives and subsequently in the House of Councillors [2][4] - The term "vote gathering" became a focal point, highlighting the necessity for coalition-building due to insufficient seats [5][6] Political Alliances - Following the Komeito party's withdrawal, Takashi sought alliances with opposition parties, ultimately forming a coalition with the Japan Innovation Party after making policy concessions [4][11] - The coalition's seat count in both houses remains short of a majority, indicating potential instability in governance [11] Policy Direction - The new coalition is expected to push for a more aggressive security policy, including amendments to the National Security Strategy and increased military spending [7][9] - Takashi's cabinet appointments reflect a conservative stance, with key positions filled by individuals known for their right-wing views [9][12] Governance Challenges - Despite the coalition, significant policy disagreements remain between the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party, which could threaten the stability of the alliance [11] - Takashi's lack of direct experience in foreign affairs may pose challenges as she faces upcoming diplomatic engagements [12]
【环时深度】民粹政党选举大胜,反建制浪潮“登陆”日本?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-22 22:49
Core Points - The rise of the populist party "Reiwa Shinsengumi" in Japan reflects public dissatisfaction with the current political landscape and economic conditions, gaining significant support by promoting a "Japan First" agenda [1][5][11] - The party's controversial statements and policies, including anti-immigration sentiments and a rejection of gender equality initiatives, have sparked both support and opposition among the electorate [3][4][9] - The party's success in recent elections indicates a shift in Japanese political dynamics, with traditional parties losing ground to new populist movements [11][12][13] Group 1: Party Background and Growth - "Reiwa Shinsengumi" was established in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, attracting initial support through social media and grassroots mobilization, growing from 2,800 followers to 460,000 on YouTube [2] - The party gained one seat in the 2022 Senate elections and three seats in the 2024 House elections, totaling 140 members including local councilors [2] - The party's slogan "Japan First" resonates with voters feeling neglected by mainstream parties, particularly in the context of rising living costs and dissatisfaction with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) [5][8] Group 2: Political Impact and Public Sentiment - The party's rise is partly attributed to a backlash against the LDP's perceived liberalization and failure to address nationalistic sentiments among conservative voters [5][11] - Polls indicate strong support for the party among younger voters aged 18 to 30, while older demographics remain more aligned with traditional parties [4][12] - The party's anti-immigration stance and claims of rising crime rates linked to foreigners have fueled public anxiety, allowing it to capitalize on existing fears [3][8][9] Group 3: Future Implications - The emergence of "Reiwa Shinsengumi" may signal a long-term shift towards right-wing populism in Japan, challenging the historical dominance of the LDP [11][14] - The party's influence could reshape Japan's political discourse, particularly regarding immigration and foreign relations, as it seeks to align with nationalist sentiments [13][14] - Observers note that while the party has gained traction, its long-term sustainability remains uncertain, as past populist movements in Japan have struggled to maintain momentum [14]