Core Insights - The current price of Ethereum is at 3479, with support at 3055 and resistance at 3917, indicating a weak trend due to reduced market momentum [1] - A potential bullish reversal signal is suggested by the emergence of an engulfing pattern, while market sentiment remains balanced with normal volatility [1] - The price has shown a clear downtrend from a high of 3648 to around 3481, with a two-day consecutive bearish close reaching a low of 3467 before a rebound [1] - The MACD indicates a bearish dominance on the 2-hour chart, although the strength of this trend is weakening [1] - The EMA shows a bearish arrangement, and if the previous low is broken, a continuation of the bearish trend is likely, leading to a primary strategy of short positions with some long positions as a secondary approach [1] Short-term Trading Points - Short position entry at 3550, with a stop-loss at 3600 and a target of 3450 [3] - Long position entry at 3450, with a stop-loss at 3400 and a target of 3550 [3]

黄金周四（8月14日）早盘冲高3374/3375附近受阻下跌，在下跌至3355附近短线企稳反弹，午后反弹3366附近再次受阻下跌，欧盘最低跌至3341，随后反弹 3359附近受阻下跌，美盘震荡下跌，到凌晨最低跌至3330/3329区域，尾盘反弹3341附近受阻回落，日线收出一根带有长上影线的阴线。 一、基本面 1、美国经济数据与美联储政策预期 通胀数据超预期：美国劳工部公布7月生产者价格指数（PPI）同比飙升3.3%，远超市场预期的2.5%，创三年来最大涨幅，且由商品和服务成本全面激增推 动。此数据或预示7月核心PCE通胀数据也将走高，直接打击市场对美联储激进降息的期待，此前部分交易员押注的9月50个基点超大规模降息预期大幅降 温。 就业市场稳健：上周美国初请失业金人数减少3000人至22.4万人，低于预期的22.8万人，体现美国劳动力市场韧性。就业市场稳定降低美联储激进降息必要 性，目前市场更倾向于美联储9月和10月各降息25个基点。 美联储官员表态：圣路易斯联储总裁穆萨勒姆明确表示，当前经济接近充分就业、通胀高于目标，降息半个百分点"没有必要"。 2、特朗普与普京会晤 会晤背景与预期：8月15日，美国总统 ...