哑铃型消费结构
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节后飞天不降反升,春节茅五动销惊艳!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 19:29
在这个史上最长的春节假期落幕时,白酒行业观察者们发现了一件怪事:往年节后价格通常要"松松弦"的飞天茅台,今年竟然不跌了,甚至还涨了。 "原本春节后飞天茅台的价格一般会降下来,但今年目前是不降反升。"一位深耕行业多年的酒商在面对记者采访时,语气中带着一丝意外 当大多数人还在回味年夜饭的余温时,白酒板块已经在这个"加长版"春节里上演了一场极致分化的好戏。今天,我们就来聊聊这个不一样的春节动销季。 如果说"茅五"的亮眼表现是意料之中,那么今年春节呈现出的 "哑铃型"消费结构,则给整个行业提了个醒。 所谓"哑铃型",即高端和大众两端火热,中间价格带承压。 在哑铃的一端,是代表面子与品质的高端酒。茅台成为年夜饭桌上的"C位",甚至在i茅台上1499元的飞天依然一瓶难求 而在哑铃的另一端,是代表里子与性价比的大众酒。北京商报记者走访发现,泸州老窖六年窖龄酒、海之蓝等300元以下的产品成为返乡聚饮、家庭自饮的 主力军 在以往的市场规律中,高端白酒往往遵循"节前涨、节后跌"的节奏。然而今年,这个规律被改写了。 记者在走访终端市场时发现,当前飞天茅台的终端零售价普遍维持在1750元上方,个别烟酒店甚至报价逼近1900元,完全没 ...
“哑铃型”结构显现 白酒市场如何淡季不淡
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-25 16:13
作为白酒消费的关键风向标,飞天茅台在春节期间的批发价格稳步回升,部分地区甚至出现售罄的情 况。一位茅台经销商表示,部分地区经销商1、2月的茅台配额早在春节前便售罄,已开始申请3月的配 额。不仅飞天茅台,五粮液在春节期间的动销情况也明显提升。相关数据显示,五粮液39度产品的动销 同比增长超双位数,其中宴席场次增长1倍以上,宴席动销大幅增长。华创证券近期在南京、长沙、成 都等地的草根调研显示,五粮液批发价格整体平稳,库存仅约1个月,远低于行业平均水平,渠道状态 相对健康。 随着春节假期结束,白酒市场逐渐步入消费淡季。今年春节假期,白酒市场呈现清晰的"哑铃型"消费结 构。北京商报记者近日走访北京部分终端市场并结合春节期间调研发现,高端酒与大众酒两端需求升 温,次高端酒则销售低迷,白酒市场的消费场景正深度重构。白酒行业如何在即将到来的传统消费淡 季"弯道超车",成为所有从业者必须直面的课题。 次高端酒陷消费断层 今年春节期间,白酒消费分化明显。这种分化不再是简单的品牌此消彼长,而是沿着价格带形成清晰的 断层。 北京商报记者走访发现,春节期间,茅台、五粮液等高端及超高端白酒产品不仅扛住价格压力,更实现 量价齐升。据国盛 ...
2025年实体生意越来越难做,为何14亿人都带不动消费?原因很现实
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 01:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in consumer spending in China, highlighting the challenges faced by various sectors and the underlying economic and social factors contributing to this trend [1][2][3]. Economic Data - National retail sales growth for the first half of 2025 was only 2.7%, marking a new low and a 6 percentage point drop compared to pre-pandemic levels [1]. - The actual growth rate, excluding price factors, was nearly stagnant at 0.4% [1]. - Restaurant revenue growth in Q1 2025 was just 1.3%, significantly below historical averages [2]. - Clothing retail sales fell by 3.5% and home appliance sales dropped by 5.2% in the first half of 2025 [2]. Income Pressure - The actual growth rate of per capita disposable income for the first half of 2025 was 3.2%, lower than GDP growth, indicating pressure in the job market and stagnant wage growth [3]. - Job cuts and salary reductions are common in traditional industries and small businesses, directly affecting consumer spending [3]. High Debt Levels - The average debt-to-income ratio for urban households reached 66.3% by Q1 2025, with mortgages accounting for 62% of total debt [4]. - Young adults under 30 in major cities have a staggering debt ratio of 78.5% [4]. - High mortgage payments significantly limit disposable income for families, reducing their ability to spend on non-essential items [4]. Education Expenses - Urban families spend an average of 26.7% of their annual income on children's education, with this figure exceeding 30% in major cities [5]. Consumer Confidence - The consumer confidence index stood at 94.3, below the neutral line of 100, indicating a lack of confidence in future income and job prospects [6]. - Increased savings, with a 15.3% year-on-year growth in deposits, reflects a cautious approach to spending amid economic uncertainty [6]. Structural Changes - The aging population, with 18.3% of the population aged 65 and above, is shifting consumption patterns towards necessities like healthcare, reducing demand for discretionary spending [7]. - A declining birth rate, with only 9.56 million births in 2024, is impacting demand for major consumer goods [7]. Shifts in Consumption Habits - The rise of e-commerce and food delivery services has led to a significant shift from offline to online shopping, with online retail sales reaching 6.7 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, growing by 10.5% [8]. Diverging Consumption Trends - The market is experiencing a "bimodal" consumption structure, where high-end products remain stable while budget-friendly options gain popularity, reflecting widening income disparities [9]. Strategies for Adaptation - Businesses are encouraged to pivot towards niche markets and enhance product quality to meet changing consumer demands [12][14]. - Embracing digital transformation and optimizing operational efficiency are crucial for survival in a challenging market [15]. - Consumers are advised to adopt rational spending habits and prioritize financial planning to navigate the economic downturn [16]. Long-term Perspective - The current consumption slump is seen as a necessary phase in China's economic transition, emphasizing the need for businesses to adapt and innovate [17]. - A more rational consumer mindset may lead to healthier financial habits and contribute to long-term economic stability [17]. Conclusion - Despite the overall decline in consumer activity, there are still opportunities for businesses that can effectively identify and cater to specific market needs [18].