四年周期理论
Search documents
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-21 04:34
Market Trend - The current market is in a bear market, marking the 46th day out of 364 days [1] - According to the "four-year cycle theory", Bitcoin price has peaked [1] Price Prediction - The peak of the bull market is predicted to be on 2025/10/06, with a Bitcoin price of $126,000 [1]
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-18 07:40
如果 2025/10/06 真的是本轮牛市的顶点的话那这次牛市总共持续了 1064 天,简直太巧了,21 年的牛市也是持续 1064 天,17 年的牛市也是持续 1064 天,太邪门了! https://t.co/NGjZKgPxyl杀破狼 WolfyXBT (@Wolfy_XBT):比特币的牛市已经结束了,目前已经进入熊市。本轮牛市的牛顶落在 2025/10/06,比特币价格为 126,000。我也不希望唱空自己的事业,但是根据 “四年周期理论”,比特币价格确实已经见顶,我只想把这个事实转达给更多这个周期入圈的新人。在我看来,“比特币减半” https://t.co/FNrd6lkUA8 ...
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-18 04:22
Market Trend - The report indicates that the Bitcoin bull market has ended and a bear market has begun [1] - The current bear market is on day 43 out of 364 [1] Price Prediction - The peak of the previous bull market is predicted to be on October 6, 2025, with a Bitcoin price of $126,000 [1] Investment Implication - The report suggests caution for newcomers to the crypto market cycle, advising them to be aware of the potential for a market downturn based on the "four-year cycle theory" [1]
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-14 11:40
今天是熊市的第(39/364)天目前熊市进度 10.71%杀破狼 WolfyXBT (@Wolfy_XBT):比特币的牛市已经结束了,目前已经进入熊市。本轮牛市的牛顶落在 2025/10/06,比特币价格为 126,000。我也不希望唱空自己的事业,但是根据 “四年周期理论”,比特币价格确实已经见顶,我只想把这个事实转达给更多这个周期入圈的新人。在我看来,“比特币减半” https://t.co/FNrd6lkUA8 ...
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-04 07:40
Market Trend Analysis - The report indicates that the Bitcoin bull market has ended and a bear market has begun [1] - The bear market is currently at 7.97% completion, representing the 29th day out of 364 days [1] Future Prediction - The previous bull market's peak is estimated to have occurred on October 6, 2025, with a Bitcoin price of $126,000 [1] - The analysis is based on the "four-year cycle theory" and the anticipation of Bitcoin halving [1]
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-11-04 06:56
Market Trend Analysis - The cryptocurrency market is currently in a bear market, marking its 29th day out of 364 [1] - According to "four-year cycle theory", Bitcoin's bull market has ended [1] Price Prediction - The previous bull market peak was predicted to be on October 6, 2025, with Bitcoin reaching $126,000 [1] Event Focus - The report highlights the significance of the "Bitcoin halving" event [1]
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-10-22 13:32
Market Trend Analysis - The analysis suggests the Bitcoin bull market has ended and a bear market has begun [1][2] - The peak of the recent bull market was projected around October 6, 2025, with a Bitcoin price of $126,000 [1] Theoretical Framework - The "four-year cycle theory," driven by Bitcoin halving, is considered the most reliable cycle theory in the cryptocurrency space [1] - This theory divides a Bitcoin bull-bear cycle into four phases: "bull start," "halving," "bull end," and "bear market" [1] Cycle Dynamics - "Halving" events precede "bull start" phases, and follow "bull end" phases [1] - "Halving day" occurs during the "mid-section" of the overall bull market [1] - "Bull start" and "bull end" phases have approximately equal durations [1] - A one-year "bear market" follows the "bull end," preceding the next "halving day" and subsequent "bull start" [1]
X @杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT· 2025-10-10 15:40
Market Trend Analysis - The analysis suggests that the Bitcoin bull market has ended, with a potential four-year wait for the next one [1] - The analysis indicates that altcoins might still experience rallies, despite the overall Bitcoin trend [1] Time-Sensitive Prediction - The analysis predicts the end of the current bull market around October 6, 2025, based on a four-year cycle theory [1] - The analysis emphasizes that this four-year cycle theory applies specifically to Bitcoin and may not hold true for altcoins [1]