Core Insights - The Chinese lithium battery industry is expected to see over threefold growth in shipment volume from 2025 to 2035, with shipments exceeding 1.7 TWh by 2025 [4][5] - The solid-state battery sector is entering a critical phase of GWh-level capacity construction from 2027 to 2030, driven by increasing demand in the power battery and energy storage markets [1][12] - The industry is transitioning from scale expansion to value creation, with significant technological breakthroughs and new application scenarios emerging [1][6] Industry Growth Projections - By 2025, the shipment volume of power lithium batteries in China is projected to exceed 1.05 TWh, with nearly threefold growth anticipated over the next decade [4] - Energy storage lithium battery shipments are expected to reach 600 GWh by 2025, with a doubling in the next five years and nearly threefold growth in the following decade [4] - Midstream material demand, including separators and electrolytes, is also expected to see over threefold growth from 2025 to 2035 [4] Price Trends - The lithium battery supply chain is experiencing price stabilization and recovery, with expectations of price increases due to supply-demand imbalances [3][5] - Predictions indicate a potential 5%-10% increase in the price of 280Ah energy storage cells by 2026, along with significant rises in processing fees for various materials [5] Solid-State Battery Development - The solid-state battery industry is categorized into four development phases, with the current phase (2023-2027) focusing on initial market applications and transitioning to GWh-level production by 2030 [10][11] - Over 20 domestic companies are currently building pilot lines for solid-state batteries, with a focus on customer development and cost control rather than immediate technical performance [11] - The solid-state battery market is expected to see rapid growth post-2027, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, with global shipments projected to exceed 900 GWh by 2035 [12][14] Capacity and Investment - The planned expansion of the solid-state battery industry in China exceeds 450 GWh, with over 250 billion yuan in planned investments over the past four years [15] - Actual production capacity remains significantly lower, with only over 25 GWh currently operational and effective utilization below 20 GWh [15] - The investment required for solid-state battery production lines is estimated at 250-300 million yuan per GWh, indicating a substantial financial commitment to this emerging technology [14]