邓永康 民生证券电新首席: 好的，各位投资者大家早上好，我是国联民生电信的邓永康。那在线还有我们组的李孝鹏 和席子义。那今天，就是我们花一点时间，给大家汇报的就有三个，一个就是关于这个固 态电池产学研年会的一些干货。那第二个，就是给大家汇报一下，就是关于中极评审二， 第二次测评的一些情况。那么第三部分，就是给大家汇报一些观点和主要推荐的标的。那 年会是 7 号、8 号，就是周末的这个时间。我觉得周末就是这个年会，是一个很重要的一 个转折点，其实就是代表着就是我们全固态电池，就是从实验室走向产线的一个转折信号。 那当然有一些核心结论，我们大概整理了一下，就是一个就是硫化物，在这个会议上，就 是明确成为主流。第二个就是关于时间点，就是因为很多电池厂和车厂都在。那么最后整 理下来，大家是时间节点差不多，就是 27 年就示范性装车，30 年就是大规模量产。然后 第三个就是大家在过去做的一任一年过程中发现，就是在工艺成本，还有包括产业链协同 方面，其实还是有很多问题需要去突破。然后再一个就是锂金属负极，还有包括复合正极 可能有一些比较明确的进展。 那这是第一个，第二个就是二测，那么二测就是目前反馈的效果，还是非常不错， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, with significant advancements expected by 2030 [2][3][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [2] - Key milestones include achieving large-scale production by 2026, a year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [3] Group 2 - The competition between Chinese and Japanese companies in the sulfide battery sector is intensifying, with China expected to file three times more patents than Japan in 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [4] - Domestic policies are driving advancements, with a target set for 2027 for vehicle integration, and many companies are ahead of schedule, such as the 60Ah cell expected to be produced by 2025 [5] Group 3 - The core value of technological commercialization includes the reconstruction of supply chain security, reducing reliance on high-cost materials from Japan and South Korea, and pushing electrolyte costs towards the target of $100/kg [6] - The high safety characteristics of sulfide batteries make them suitable for specialized applications in aviation and military sectors, addressing range anxiety in electric vehicles with a projected 400 Wh/kg version by 2028 [6] Group 4 - The period from 2025 to 2030 is identified as a critical window for the transition of sulfide batteries from laboratory to mass production, with an expected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [9] - National strategies, such as China's "New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2025)" and the EU's "Battery 2030+" initiative, are prioritizing the development of solid-state batteries [8] Group 5 - The event titled "2025 Starting Point Solid-State Battery Industry Annual Conference and Solid-State Battery Golden Ding Award Ceremony" will take place on November 8, 2025, in Guangzhou, featuring discussions on key technological advancements and industry standards [11][12] - The agenda includes various specialized forums focusing on sulfide all-solid-state battery technologies, manufacturing processes, and innovations in electrolyte materials [12][13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state battery technology, with significant advancements expected by 2030 [2][3][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [2] - Key milestones include achieving large-scale production by 2026, a year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [3] Group 2 - The article highlights the convergence of technology routes between Chinese and Japanese companies, with China expected to file three times more patents than Japan by 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [4] - Domestic policies are driving advancements, with a target set for 2027 for vehicle integration, and many companies are ahead of schedule, such as the 60Ah cell expected to be produced by 2025 [5] Group 3 - The core value of technological commercialization includes the reconstruction of supply chain security, reducing reliance on Japanese and Korean raw materials, and aiming to lower the cost of electrolytes to $100/kg [6] - The high safety characteristics of sulfide batteries make them suitable for specialized applications in aviation and military sectors, addressing range anxiety for electric vehicles with a projected 400 Wh/kg version by 2028 [6] Group 4 - The article discusses the alignment of national strategies with market demands, noting that China's "New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2025)" explicitly supports solid-state battery research, with over 2 billion yuan allocated for the "14th Five-Year Plan" [8] - The period from 2025 to 2030 is identified as a critical window for sulfide battery commercialization, with expectations for the global market to reach $20 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [9] Group 5 - The event will feature a series of specialized forums focusing on various aspects of sulfide all-solid-state battery technology, including manufacturing processes, material breakthroughs, and industry challenges [12][13] - The establishment of the first all-solid-state battery industry alliance aims to foster collaboration across the entire supply chain, enhancing the industry's strategic direction [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, highlighting significant advancements in energy density and production timelines [2][3][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [2] - Key milestones include achieving large-scale production by 2026, a year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [3] Group 2 - The competition between Chinese and Japanese companies in the sulfide battery sector is intensifying, with China expected to file three times more patents than Japan in 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [4] - Domestic policies are driving advancements, with a target set for 2027 to integrate solid-state batteries into vehicles, and many companies are ahead of schedule [5] - The localization of lithium sulfide production is expected to reduce dependency on Japanese and Korean materials, alleviating cost pressures and pushing electrolyte costs towards the target of $100/kg [6] Group 3 - The period from 2025 to 2030 is identified as a critical window for the transition of sulfide batteries from laboratory settings to mass production, with a projected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [9] - The Chinese government has committed over 2 billion yuan to solid-state battery research as part of its strategic plan, while the EU has prioritized sulfide technology in its battery initiatives [8] - The establishment of the All-Solid-State Battery Industry Alliance aims to unify efforts across the industry to address challenges and set standards [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, highlighting significant advancements in energy density and production timelines [2][3][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [2] - Key milestones include achieving large-scale production by 2026, a year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [3] Group 2 - The competition between Chinese and Japanese companies in the sulfide battery sector is intensifying, with China expected to file three times more patents than Japan in 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [4] - Domestic policies are driving advancements, with a target set for 2027 to integrate solid-state batteries into vehicles, and many companies are ahead of schedule [5] - The localization of lithium sulfide production is expected to reduce dependency on Japanese and Korean materials, alleviating cost pressures and pushing electrolyte costs towards the target of $100/kg [6] Group 3 - The period from 2025 to 2030 is identified as a critical window for the transition of sulfide batteries from laboratory settings to mass production, with an anticipated global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [9] - The event will feature discussions on the technological roadmap for sulfide solid-state batteries, including challenges and solutions in manufacturing processes [12][13] - The establishment of the All-Solid-State Battery Industry Alliance aims to foster collaboration across the industry, addressing the need for standardized materials and equipment [8][12]

2025 起点固态电池行业年会 暨固态电池金鼎奖颁奖典礼 首届硫化物全固态电池国际峰会议程 时间： 2025年11月8日 地点：广州 一 活动背景与意义 商业化节奏加速 : 关键节点 2026年实现规模化生产（原计划2027年），反映技术突破超预期（如电解质电导率>10 mS/cm、界面稳定性提升）。 中日技术路线趋同 : 中日企业均聚焦硫化物路线，中国 2024年专利申请量达日本三倍，但日本在基础专利仍占全球40%，显示产业化竞争白热化。 政策驱动明确 : 国内设定 2027年装车节点，企业进度普遍提前半年（如60Ah电芯2025年下线），验证政策与市场双轮驱动效应。 2、 技术商业化突破的核心价值 供应链安全重构 ： 硫化锂本土化生产可降低对日韩原材料的依赖，缓解当前 99.9%纯度产品高达200万元/吨的价格压力，推动电解质成本向100美 元/kg目标迈进。 终端应用场景拓展： 高安全性（针刺测试不起火）特性使其适用于航空、军工等特殊领域； 400Wh/kg高能量密度版本（预计2028年）将解决电动汽 车续航焦虑。 生产工艺革新： 干法电极工艺与硫化物电解质膜的集成，可减少传统液态电池涂布、注液等环节， ...

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategic Transformation - The company has completed its strategic transformation since 2020, with the business structure and capacity structure adjustments finalized by the end of 2024 [1] - The business is divided into three main sectors: new energy storage, communication and data center storage, and consumer lithium batteries [2] Group 2: New Energy Storage Sector - The company has participated in nearly 500 energy storage projects since 2008, establishing a strong industry position and experience [1] - The current backlog of large-scale energy storage orders is approximately 7.8 GWh, with 5 GWh from domestic sources and 2.8 GWh from overseas, primarily from Australia, Europe, and the UK [2] Group 3: Communication and Data Center Storage - The company has 30 years of experience in the production and application of backup power systems for data centers, with a focus on high-power lithium battery systems [2] - The expected revenue from high-voltage lithium batteries is projected to reach 1 billion yuan by 2025, with anticipated significant growth in the following year [2] Group 4: Consumer Lithium Battery Sector - The company has begun actively developing consumer lithium batteries since 2024, targeting electric three-wheelers and low-speed four-wheelers [2] - Collaborations with various well-known brands are established, which will enhance cash flow and improve lithium battery capacity utilization [2] Group 5: Production Capacity and Future Plans - The current production capacity for large-scale lithium batteries is 4 GWh, with an integrated capacity of 10 GWh expected to be completed by the end of the year [3] - The company plans to expand data center lithium battery production capacity from 1.5 GWh to 2.5 GWh next year, with the ability to quickly scale up if demand increases [4] Group 6: Competitive Landscape and Technology - In North America, the main competitors are Samsung and LG, with the company's lithium batteries utilizing a lithium iron phosphate technology that offers superior safety and cycle life [4] - The company has secured a 2.8 GWh order for semi-solid batteries, marking a significant step in the commercialization of solid-state battery technology [4]

Group 1: Event Background and Significance - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is expected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, significantly outpacing liquid lithium batteries [1] - Commercialization is accelerating, with large-scale production anticipated in 2026, one year ahead of the original plan, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [2] - Chinese and Japanese companies are converging on sulfide technology, with China's patent applications expected to triple Japan's by 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [3] - Domestic policies are driving advancements, with a 2027 target for vehicle integration, and companies are generally ahead of schedule [4] Group 2: Core Value of Technological Commercialization Breakthroughs - Localized production of lithium sulfide can reduce dependence on Japanese and Korean materials, alleviating price pressures and pushing electrolyte costs towards the $100/kg target [5] - The high safety characteristics of sulfide batteries make them suitable for specialized fields such as aviation and military, while a 400 Wh/kg version expected by 2028 will address range anxiety in electric vehicles [5] - Innovations in production processes, such as the integration of dry electrode technology with sulfide electrolyte membranes, can reduce manufacturing costs by over 30% [6] Group 3: Policy Support and Market Demand Alignment - China's "New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2025)" explicitly supports solid-state battery research, with over 2 billion yuan allocated for the "14th Five-Year Plan" [7] - The collaboration of leading companies like CATL reflects a commitment to establishing industry standards, requiring cooperation from upstream and downstream enterprises [7] - The period from 2025 to 2030 is predicted to be crucial for the transition of sulfide batteries from laboratory to mass production, with a projected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [8] Group 4: Core Technical Issues - The ionic conductivity of sulfide electrolytes has reached levels comparable to liquid electrolytes, with recent advancements allowing for further improvements through rare earth doping [10] - Interface stabilization techniques, such as atomic layer deposition, have significantly reduced interface impedance and improved cycle life [11] - New packaging solutions using multi-layer materials have addressed the sensitivity of sulfide batteries to moisture and oxygen [12] Group 5: Event Organization and Highlights - The event will feature the release of a global roadmap for sulfide solid-state battery technology, providing strategic guidance for the industry [16] - The establishment of the first alliance focused on solid-state batteries will be announced, inviting participation from the entire industry chain [16] - A focus on key challenges in the Chinese industry, including high-purity lithium sulfide production and interface impedance control, will be highlighted [16] Group 6: Agenda Framework Design - The agenda includes sessions on the industrialization process of sulfide solid-state batteries, challenges in manufacturing, and advancements in electrolyte technology [17] Group 7: Promotion and Marketing Strategy - A multi-dimensional promotional strategy will be implemented, utilizing various media platforms to generate interest and engagement leading up to the event [21] - Targeted invitations will be sent to key stakeholders in the industry to enhance participation [21] Group 8: Participation Fees and Contact Information - The registration fee is set at 2888 yuan per person, which includes access to the conference, meals, and industry reports [24]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, with significant advancements expected by 2025 and beyond [1][2][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [1] - The commercialization timeline has accelerated, with large-scale production expected in 2026, one year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the convergence of technology routes between China and Japan, with Chinese patent applications expected to triple those of Japan by 2024, although Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents [3] - Policy support is evident, with China setting a target for 2027 for vehicle installations, and many companies advancing their timelines by six months [4] - The restructuring of supply chains is highlighted, as local production of lithium sulfide can reduce dependence on Japanese and Korean materials, alleviating price pressures [5] Group 3 - The article outlines the expected market window from 2025 to 2030 as a critical phase for sulfide batteries transitioning from laboratory to mass production, with a projected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [8] - Key technological advancements include breakthroughs in sulfide electrolyte materials, achieving room temperature ionic conductivity comparable to liquid electrolytes, and significant cost reductions in production processes [10][11] - The article also addresses challenges in interface stability and large-scale manufacturing, with innovative solutions being developed to enhance battery performance and safety [11][12][13] Group 4 - The event will feature the release of a global roadmap for sulfide solid-state battery technology, providing strategic guidance for the industry [16] - The establishment of the first alliance focused on all-solid-state batteries will be announced, aiming to foster collaboration across the industry [16] - A comprehensive list of technical challenges and goals for the Chinese sulfide solid-state battery industry will be published, focusing on high-purity lithium sulfide production and interface resistance control [16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the rapid development and commercialization of sulfide all-solid-state batteries, with significant advancements expected by 2025 and beyond [1][2][4] - The energy density of sulfide all-solid-state batteries is projected to increase from 350 Wh/kg in 2025 to 500 Wh/kg by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4%, surpassing the progress of liquid lithium batteries [1] - The commercialization timeline has accelerated, with large-scale production expected in 2026, one year earlier than initially planned, indicating unexpected technological breakthroughs [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the convergence of technology routes between China and Japan, noting that while China is expected to file three times more patents than Japan in 2024, Japan still holds 40% of global foundational patents, highlighting intense competition in the industry [3] - Policy support is clearly defined, with China setting a target for 2027 for vehicle installations, and many companies advancing their timelines by six months [4] - The article outlines the core value of technological commercialization, including the reconstruction of supply chain security through localized production of lithium sulfide, which can alleviate the high costs of imported materials [5][6] Group 3 - The article predicts that the period from 2025 to 2030 will be crucial for the transition of sulfide batteries from laboratory settings to mass production, with a projected global market size of $20 billion by 2030 and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 45% [8] - Key technological advancements in sulfide electrolyte materials are highlighted, including breakthroughs in ionic conductivity and cost-effective synthesis methods, which have reduced energy consumption by 60% compared to traditional methods [10][11] - Challenges in interface stability and large-scale manufacturing are addressed, with innovative techniques such as atomic layer deposition and dry electrode processes being developed to enhance performance and reduce costs [11][12] Group 4 - The event will feature the release of a global roadmap for sulfide solid-state battery technology, providing strategic guidance for the industry [16] - The establishment of the first all-solid-state battery industry alliance is a significant highlight, aimed at fostering collaboration across the supply chain [16] - The agenda includes specialized sessions focusing on various aspects of sulfide solid-state battery technology, including manufacturing challenges and advancements in materials [17]