本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，12月22日，商务部发布对原产于欧盟的进口相关乳制品反补贴调查初裁公告，决定实施临时 反补贴措施。财通证券认为，伴随国内原奶产能过剩、奶价周期下行至低位，进口乳制品价格优势即有 所消退，国产深加工产能布局迎来窗口期，众多乳企及相关企业开始集中投建或扩建深加工产能。反补 贴措施落地将进一步巩固国产价格优势，加速催化国产深加工替代进程。国产深加工产能提供增量原奶 需求，利好上游牧场，建议关注：优然牧业、现代牧业。 智通财经获悉，乳业股上扬，截至发稿，现代牧业(01117)涨4.14%，报1.51港元；优然牧业(09858)涨 2.94%，报4.91港元。 ...

Group 1 - Recent rebound in Hong Kong dairy stocks, with China Feihe and Mengniu Dairy both rising by 3.36%, and other companies like Yuan Ecological Agriculture and Ausnutria also showing positive growth [1] - CITIC Securities highlights a shift in the domestic dairy industry from "drinking milk" to "processing milk," indicating a new phase of development in deep processing products, with future capacity expected to exceed 700,000 tons [1] - The B-end deep processing demand is projected to exceed 26 billion yuan, driven by high demand in baking, ready-to-drink beverages, and Western fast food sectors [1] Group 2 - Domestic raw milk prices show signs of bottoming out after a period of low performance, with supply-side reductions in dairy cow inventory due to previous losses and improving demand as consumption recovers [1] - The supply-demand relationship in the dairy market is gradually moving towards balance, indicating potential for future growth [1]