Core Viewpoint - The tire industry is experiencing a mixed performance with stable overall demand but structural differentiation, influenced by external factors such as tariffs and raw material prices [1][5]. Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the tire sector achieved total revenue of 55.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 30% to 4 billion yuan [3]. - The overall gross profit margin was 18.4%, down 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 7.5%, down 4.1 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached 28.6 billion yuan, a 9.9% year-on-year increase, while net profit was 2 billion yuan, down 33% year-on-year [3]. Market Demand and Export Trends - Global tire market demand grew by 2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 918 million units, with all-steel tires increasing by 1% to 106 million units and semi-steel tires rising by 2% to 812 million units [1]. - China's passenger car tire exports remained flat at 17.2 million units, while truck and bus tire exports grew by 2% to 6.3 million units in the first half of 2025 [2]. Competitive Landscape - Leading domestic tire companies are expected to continue increasing their market share, with companies like Sailun Tire reporting a 16% year-on-year revenue growth to 17.6 billion yuan, despite a 14.9% decline in net profit [4]. - Many overseas tire companies are reducing production capacity, while domestic firms are expanding their international presence, which may allow them to capture more global market share [4]. Policy and Trade Environment - The potential implementation of anti-dumping duties by the EU could tighten short-term overseas supply, benefiting tire companies with global operations and increasing order volumes and prices [5]. - The U.S. market's import demand remains strong despite tariff impacts, with passenger car tire imports growing by 3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [2].

Core Viewpoint - The tire industry shows stable overall demand, but structural differentiation exists, with the semi-steel replacement market providing stronger support. Leading companies with overseas production capacity are expected to continue improving revenue [1][4]. Industry Demand and Supply - In the first half of 2025, global tire market demand increased by 2% year-on-year, reaching 918 million units, with semi-steel tires growing by 2% to 812 million units and full-steel tires increasing by 1% to 106 million units. The fastest growth was seen in the semi-steel replacement segment, which grew by 3% [1]. - China's tire export growth has slowed, with passenger car tire exports remaining flat at 172 million units and truck tire exports increasing by 2% to 63 million units in the first half of 2025. In Q2 2025, passenger car tire exports fell by 3.6% to 87.36 million units, while truck tire exports grew by 1.1% to 33.3 million units [1]. - Despite a sudden tariff impact in Q2, the U.S. market showed strong import demand, with passenger car tire imports increasing by 3% to 84.91 million units and truck tire imports rising by 12% to 32.65 million units in the first half of 2025 [1]. Financial Performance - The tire sector achieved total revenue of 55.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 10% increase year-on-year, but net profit fell by 30% to 4 billion yuan. The overall sales gross margin was 18.4%, down 5.2 percentage points [2]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 28.6 billion yuan, up 9.9% year-on-year and 6.2% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit decreased by 33% to 2 billion yuan. The sales gross margin was 18.9%, down 4.9 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Company Performance and Market Position - There is a clear performance differentiation among companies, with leading domestic tire manufacturers likely to continue increasing market share. For instance, Sailun Tire's revenue grew by 16% to 17.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, although net profit fell by 14.9% to 1.83 billion yuan [3]. - Leading companies are expanding their overseas presence, with new production bases in Indonesia and Mexico, and plans for a factory in Egypt. This expansion contrasts with several overseas tire companies announcing factory closures and production cuts [3]. Investment Outlook - The overall demand in the tire industry remains stable, with stronger support from the semi-steel replacement market. As tariff impacts are gradually absorbed and raw material prices decline, company profits are expected to recover to some extent [4]. - The potential for price increases and profit margins exists for companies with overseas production capacity, especially if the EU imposes high anti-dumping duties on imports from China. This could lead to a tightening of short-term supply and improved pricing power for companies with global operations [4].