国际业务变现
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同程旅行(00780.HK):维持全年指引 3Q25度假业务持续承压
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-22 13:06
Core Insights - The company forecasts a 14% year-on-year growth in core OTA revenue for Q3 2025, with total revenue expected to increase by 9% to 5.45 billion yuan [1][2] - The vacation business continues to face pressure, particularly due to a 25% year-on-year decline in flight volume from China to Thailand [2] Revenue Breakdown - **Accommodation**: Expected to grow by 14% year-on-year, driven by a 10-15% increase in room nights, with a steady rise in the share of three-star hotels and a slight increase in platform ADR [1] - **Transportation**: Anticipated to grow by 9% year-on-year, benefiting from a 3% increase in domestic passenger volume and a rapid growth in international ticket sales [1] - **Other Revenue**: Expected to increase by 34% year-on-year, driven by growth in hotel management and PMS revenue [1] Profitability and Guidance - The company maintains its full-year revenue and profit guidance for 2025, projecting a 15% increase in core OTA revenue and a Non-IFRS net profit of 3.3 billion yuan [2] - The company is focused on cost control and enhancing international business monetization [2] Valuation and Market Position - The company maintains a target price of 28 HKD, representing an upside potential of 28%, with current trading at 14x/12x 2025/2026 Non-IFRS P/E [2]