Core Insights - The company forecasts a 14% year-on-year growth in core OTA revenue for Q3 2025, with total revenue expected to increase by 9% to 5.45 billion yuan [1][2] - The vacation business continues to face pressure, particularly due to a 25% year-on-year decline in flight volume from China to Thailand [2] Revenue Breakdown - **Accommodation**: Expected to grow by 14% year-on-year, driven by a 10-15% increase in room nights, with a steady rise in the share of three-star hotels and a slight increase in platform ADR [1] - **Transportation**: Anticipated to grow by 9% year-on-year, benefiting from a 3% increase in domestic passenger volume and a rapid growth in international ticket sales [1] - **Other Revenue**: Expected to increase by 34% year-on-year, driven by growth in hotel management and PMS revenue [1] Profitability and Guidance - The company maintains its full-year revenue and profit guidance for 2025, projecting a 15% increase in core OTA revenue and a Non-IFRS net profit of 3.3 billion yuan [2] - The company is focused on cost control and enhancing international business monetization [2] Valuation and Market Position - The company maintains a target price of 28 HKD, representing an upside potential of 28%, with current trading at 14x/12x 2025/2026 Non-IFRS P/E [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of Tongcheng Travel, with a notable stock price increase and significant revenue growth in the latest financial report [1][2][3] Group 2 - As of the mid-year report for 2025, Tongcheng Travel reported total revenue of 9.047 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.311 billion RMB [2] - The company's profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2025 increased by 57.86% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share of 0.58 RMB [2] - On August 19, the stock price of Tongcheng Travel rose by 4.98%, reaching 20.64 RMB per share, with a trading volume of 348 million RMB [1]

Core Points - Severe flooding disasters have occurred in Inner Mongolia, particularly in cities like Hohhot, Baotou, and Ulanqab, resulting in significant casualties and property damage [1] - The National Disaster Reduction Committee has activated a level four emergency response for disaster relief on August 7 [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 80 million yuan (approximately 11.2 million USD) for emergency recovery efforts in Inner Mongolia, focusing on restoring damaged infrastructure such as water conservancy, transportation, and schools [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with an initial coverage date of July 8, 2025 [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic OTA market, particularly benefiting from the growth in lower-tier markets and the overall tourism boom. It is backed by major shareholders Tencent and Trip.com, which provide significant advantages in customer acquisition and supply chain resources [4][6][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, formed from the merger of Tongcheng and eLong, is a top-tier one-stop travel service platform in China, successfully ranking among the top three in the OTA industry [17]. Shareholding Structure - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with major shareholders Tencent and Trip.com holding 24.07% and 20.46% respectively, facilitating deep collaboration in business operations [18][21]. Business Breakdown - The core OTA business includes transportation and accommodation bookings, contributing approximately 50% and 30% of revenue respectively. The company is expanding into hotel management and vacation services, enhancing its competitive edge [23]. Financial Performance - The company has shown strong recovery post-pandemic, with revenues of RMB 11.896 billion in 2023 and projected growth to RMB 19.624 billion by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 80.7% and 45.8% respectively [8][31]. Adjusted net profit is expected to reach RMB 27.07 billion in 2025 [6]. OTA Industry Insights - The online travel market in China is projected to exceed RMB 1 trillion in 2024, with a significant increase in online transaction rates, indicating a robust recovery and growth potential in the sector [39][46]. Competitive Landscape - The OTA market is characterized by a high concentration of major players, with Trip.com leading the market share. The competitive dynamics are stable, with companies leveraging unique strengths to capture different market segments [49][52]. Pricing Power - The pricing power of the company is influenced by the concentration of upstream resources, particularly in transportation and accommodation sectors, which affects commission rates and overall profitability [56][59].