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特朗普没料到中国敢这么干,发行美债增持1182亿,美联储急刹车
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 08:24
Core Insights - The issuance of $4 billion in Chinese sovereign bonds attracted a staggering $118.2 billion in subscriptions, achieving a subscription rate 30 times higher than the amount issued, indicating a strong global interest in Chinese dollar bonds compared to U.S. Treasury bonds [4][6]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - The Chinese bonds had competitive interest rates, with a 3-year rate of 3.646% and a 5-year rate of 3.787%, which are nearly on par with U.S. Treasury rates [3][4]. - The distribution of investors showed that 53% of the subscription funds came from Asia, 25% from Europe, 16% from the Middle East, and 6% from U.S. investors, highlighting a diverse global interest [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Context - The U.S. national debt has surpassed $38 trillion, with annual interest payments exceeding $1.1 trillion, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [6]. - China, with over $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, is not issuing dollar bonds due to a cash shortage but rather as a strategic financial maneuver [6][10]. Group 3: Market Implications - The issuance sets a new interest rate benchmark for Chinese enterprises seeking to raise funds in international markets, providing a reference point for future dollar bond issuances [8]. - The funds raised will support infrastructure projects along the Belt and Road Initiative, creating a cycle where international capital flows into China and then is reinvested globally [8][10]. Group 4: Global Financial Dynamics - This issuance allows China to redefine the concept of "safe assets" in the international financial system, challenging existing credit ratings by demonstrating strong market demand [6][10]. - By becoming an active dollar allocator rather than a passive holder, China is reshaping global capital flows and potentially paving the way for the internationalization of the renminbi [10][14]. Group 5: Hong Kong's Role - The choice to issue bonds in Hong Kong reinforces its status as an international financial center, with China having issued a total of $25 billion in sovereign bonds there since 2017 [12]. - The high subscription rates for Chinese bonds compared to U.S. Treasuries suggest that international investors view Chinese sovereign credit ratings as comparable to those of the U.S. [12][14].