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铂金钯金双涨:贵金属市场的价值博弈与未来迷局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 18:42
Core Insights - The precious metals market is experiencing a significant shift, with platinum prices rising above 310 RMB per gram and palladium at 245 RMB per gram, reversing the previous trend where palladium outperformed platinum [1] - The demand for platinum is expected to surge due to its critical role in hydrogen fuel cells, with projections indicating a substantial increase in platinum usage in the automotive sector, particularly in hydrogen fuel cell vehicles [3] - Palladium faces long-term demand pressure due to the decline of the internal combustion engine market, despite new applications emerging in electronics and 5G infrastructure [4] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price dynamics of platinum and palladium have been volatile over the past decade, with palladium previously reaching a peak price that was 137 RMB higher per gram than platinum in 2019 [3] - The automotive industry's shift towards stricter emission standards significantly boosted palladium demand, while platinum struggled due to weak jewelry demand and limited industrial applications [3] - The current market transformation is driven by the rise of the hydrogen economy, redefining platinum's strategic value as a key catalyst in fuel cells [3] Group 2: Demand and Supply Factors - The Chinese government aims for a fleet of 1 million hydrogen fuel cell vehicles by 2030, indicating a projected exponential growth in platinum demand [3] - In the jewelry sector, platinum sales have seen a consistent growth rate of over 15% for two consecutive years, driven by consumer preferences for its durability and purity [3] - Palladium's demand is being challenged by the increasing penetration of electric vehicles, which reduces the need for palladium in traditional combustion engines [4] Group 3: Recycling and Recovery Trends - The recovery price of platinum waste has recently surpassed that of palladium, reflecting a shift in supply-demand dynamics [6] - Global platinum recovery has increased from 180 tons in 2020 to 250 tons in 2023, while palladium recovery remains constrained by technological limitations [6] - The efficiency of palladium recovery is only 60% that of platinum, exacerbating supply tightness for palladium [6] Group 4: Investment Perspectives - Analysts suggest that platinum may be viewed as a "hard currency" in the new energy sector, with potential price elasticity over the next five years [6] - Palladium is characterized as a "balancer" between traditional industries and emerging technologies, leading to price fluctuations influenced by dual forces [6] - Market risks, including labor strikes in South African platinum mines and changes in Russian palladium export policies, could significantly impact the valuation of these metals [6]
中恒电气(002364):通信电源龙头,受益AIDC算力提升
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-13 15:17
中恒电气(002364) 证券研究报告 通信电源龙头,受益 AIDC 算力提升 专注电源 29 载,受益 AIDC 算力提升。公司成立于 1996 年,主要从事高 频开关电源系统的研发、生产、销售和服务。主要业务包含电力电子制造 和电力数字化两大板块,电源系统业务为公司营收主线,未来有望受益智 算中心算力提升。 通信电源:数据中心电源受益算力高增,5G 扩张带动站点能源 1)全球及中国算力规模呈高速增长态势。2020 到 2023 年,全球算力规 模已提升至 1369EFLOPS,CAGR 达 46.5%。智能算力规模持续快速扩张, 2024 年,中国智能算力的增幅已经远超同期通用算力增幅,预计 2025 年, 中国智能算力占比将达到 35%。伴随算力规模攀升,数据中心用电量增速 显著。2024 到 2030 年全国数据中心用电量年均增速预计约 20%,显著高 于全社会用电量增速。 2)HVDC 凭借多维优势驱动渗透率加速提升。目前数据中心和智算中心 的通用供配电解决方案为 UPS 供电系统。相较于传统 UPS 供电系统, HVDC 在能效、供电可靠性等方面展现出显著优势。公司为数据中心 HVDC 绿色供电技 ...
欣天科技(300615) - 2025年05月09日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-05-09 09:22
证券代码:300615 证券简称:欣天科技 深圳市欣天科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 答: 尊敬的投资者,您好!提升盈利水平最有效的渠道就是开源和 节流。 一方面,本年度公司将进一步在业务端发力,通讯业务部分, 确保海外市场份额稳定增长,同时,积极拓展国内市场增量机会;新能 源业务部分,继续保持良好增长势头,不断拓展产品品类和市场竞争 力。另一方面,全力争取越南和匈牙利两家海外工厂大幅减亏、扭亏。 通过以上措施,公司将努力延续一季度的增长趋势,确保全年实现盈 利。感谢您对公司的关注! 4.高管您好。请问贵公司本期财务报告中,盈利表现如何?谢 谢。 答:尊敬的投资者,您好!2024年,公司受营业收入下降的影响, 归母净利润亏损1,833.27万元; 2025年第一季度,公司实现营业收入 7,949.94万元,较上年同期增长98.45%,实现归母净利润-377.96万元, 较上年同期增长55.14%。具体详见定期报告。感谢您对公司的关注! 5.在成本控制方面采取了哪些有效措施? 答:尊敬的投资者,您好!公司成本控制方面,主要做了以下几方 面的工作:1、针对主要的有色金属材料,一是与销售部门联动,锁定 有色 ...