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古茗20251010
2025-10-13 01:00
Summary of Gu Ming's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Gu Ming - **Industry**: Beverage (Tea and Coffee) Key Points and Arguments Sales Performance and Growth - Gu Ming expects same-store sales to grow in Q4, driven by reduced delivery subsidies, new product launches, and a low base from last year due to delivery price increases [2][3] - In January to September 2025, actual revenue for franchisees increased year-on-year, but the growth rate was lower than that of GMV [2][5] - The company achieved a 20% growth rate in 2025, with Q3 also showing strong performance [24] Franchisee Profitability - Franchisees' actual revenue has been increasing, but profit margins are under pressure due to high delivery ratios and low actual revenue rates [4][21] - The delivery revenue rate is around 60%, while non-delivery remains stable at 85% [4] - Gu Ming is focusing on improving dine-in sales to enhance franchisee profitability [4][18] Expansion Plans - The company aims to reach 20,000 stores by 2027, with a target of opening approximately 3,000 new stores in 2026 [2][7][11] - Despite the competitive delivery market, franchisee willingness to open new stores has declined since May 2025 [8][9] - Gu Ming plans to expand in existing regions and invest more resources in new areas like Guangdong and Guangxi [9][10] Product Strategy - New product launches, including hot drinks and coffee, are being introduced to adapt to seasonal changes, especially in northern markets [12][17] - The company has over 10,000 coffee outlets and aims to increase user retention and purchase frequency through promotional activities [23] Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape includes ongoing delivery wars among platforms like Ele.me, Taobao, and Meituan, affecting franchisee revenue [4][15] - Gu Ming does not plan to initiate price wars but will respond to competitive pressures as necessary [28] Seasonal Adjustments - The company has introduced seasonal products to address winter demand, such as hot drinks and specific tea varieties [12][17] - Sales of fruit tea are higher in summer, while milk tea sales increase in winter [13] Digital and Supply Chain Developments - There are no significant updates on supply chain upgrades or digital systems; automation is still in the testing phase [35] Breakfast and New Product Initiatives - Gu Ming is testing breakfast products in select locations, with plans to expand offerings in 2026 [32][33] - The pricing strategy for new breakfast items is being developed, with a focus on maintaining profitability for franchisees [33] Financial Outlook - The company is monitoring franchisee profitability closely and may consider price adjustments or other measures if profitability declines significantly [20][21] Conclusion - Gu Ming is positioned for growth with a focus on expanding its store network, enhancing franchisee profitability, and adapting its product offerings to seasonal demands. The company is navigating a competitive landscape while maintaining a strategic approach to market expansion and product innovation.