外汇避险
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“抢出口”贷款考验
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-06-08 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment of tariffs between China and the U.S. has led to a surge in export activities among Chinese foreign trade companies, as they aim to fulfill backlog orders within a 90-day window to avoid higher tariffs in the future [1][2][4]. Group 1: Impact on Export Activities - Many foreign trade companies are racing to secure shipping slots and expedite production to meet U.S. customer orders within the 90-day window [1][5]. - The manufacturing PMI in May increased to 49.5%, indicating improved export conditions due to the tariff adjustments [4]. - Shanghai port's container throughput reached 4.65 million TEUs in May, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, reflecting the heightened export activities [5]. Group 2: Banking Sector Response - Banks are closely monitoring the export activities of foreign trade companies, as the ability to deliver orders within the 90-day window is crucial for trade financing [2][8]. - Banks are adjusting their credit strategies based on the latest trends in export activities, providing support to companies that can meet the delivery deadlines [11]. - There is a growing demand for customized financial services from banks to support the unique needs of different foreign trade companies [3][10]. Group 3: Challenges and Strategies - Some foreign trade companies are facing challenges in securing shipping slots and managing production schedules, leading to varying levels of confidence in meeting the 90-day deadline [9]. - Companies are considering changing their contracts to FOB pricing to mitigate risks associated with tariff fluctuations [6][10]. - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies has led to increased interest in foreign exchange risk hedging products among small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises [10].
金宏气体: 金宏气体:东吴证券股份有限公司关于金宏气体股份有限公司开展远期结售汇业务的核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-25 11:35
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to conduct forward foreign exchange settlement and sales to mitigate the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on its business performance, allowing it to focus on production and sales [1][2]. Summary by Sections Purpose of Conducting Forward Foreign Exchange Business - The company engages in overseas procurement and sales, primarily using currencies such as USD, EUR, SGD, VND, and THB. The forward foreign exchange business aims to reduce the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the company's operating performance [1][2]. Types of Forward Foreign Exchange Business - The forward foreign exchange business will be limited to the main settlement currencies used in the company's operations: USD, EUR, SGD, VND, and THB [2]. Business Period and Scale - The company has received approval from its board and supervisory committee to conduct forward foreign exchange business within 12 months from the board's approval date, with a maximum foreign currency amount not exceeding RMB 300 million (including this amount), which can be used on a rolling basis [2][3]. Feasibility Analysis - The company’s reliance on foreign currencies for procurement and sales makes it vulnerable to significant exchange rate fluctuations. Engaging in forward foreign exchange business is seen as a way to lock in exchange rates, thereby stabilizing profit levels and aligning with future operational needs [2][3]. Risk Analysis - The forward foreign exchange business is designed to hedge against exchange rate risks and is not intended for speculative or arbitrage trading. However, there are risks such as potential exchange losses if the forward rates deviate from actual rates at the time of settlement [3]. Risk Control Measures - The company has established a comprehensive internal control system for foreign exchange forward business and has implemented effective risk response measures. This includes monitoring customer payment capabilities and improving the accuracy of cash flow forecasts [4][5]. Review Procedures and Special Opinions - The board and supervisory committee have approved the proposal to conduct forward foreign exchange business, confirming that it aligns with the company's operational needs and complies with relevant laws and regulations [4][5]. Sponsor Institution's Review Opinion - The sponsor institution has verified that the proposed forward foreign exchange business has been approved by the company's board and supervisory committee, and it complies with necessary legal procedures [5].