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多晶硅期货主力合约续创新高 机构看好产业链业绩修复
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-22 18:49
Group 1 - The market sentiment for polysilicon futures has been bullish due to expectations of "anti-involution" policies, leading to a continuous rise in prices since July [1] - On July 22, polysilicon futures reached a new high with a price increase of 8.99%, while the average price of N-type raw materials rose from 33 yuan/kg to 43 yuan/kg, a 30% increase [2] - The main futures contract price increased from 33,090 yuan/ton to 40,855 yuan/ton, reflecting a 23% rise [2] Group 2 - Over 30 polysilicon concept stocks in the A-share market have shown significant price increases since July, with stocks like Hongyuan Green Energy and Daqo New Energy rising over 30% [3] - Year-to-date, 11 concept stocks have increased by over 10%, with Leshan Electric leading at a 141.99% increase [3] - In Q1, polysilicon profits improved due to a decline in raw material prices, while Q2 saw a narrowing of losses despite a continued drop in polysilicon prices [3] Group 3 - Tongwei Co. is expected to report a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of the year, with a Q1 loss of 2.593 billion yuan [4] - Several companies, including Baofeng Electric and Yuyuan New Materials, are projected to see significant profit increases, with growth rates of 229.15% and 179% respectively [4] - The polysilicon sector is anticipated to be one of the first to complete supply-side adjustments, potentially concentrating profits among leading companies [4] Group 4 - More than half of the polysilicon concept stocks have seen increased financing since July, with Tongwei Co. and others receiving over 1 billion yuan in net buying [5] - Nine concept stocks are expected to see profit growth in 2025, with Daqo New Energy, Longi Green Energy, and Tongwei Co. projected to have net profit increases of 82.44%, 76.66%, and 56.44% respectively [5]