多重危机(Polycrisis)

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对话马克·乌赞:欧元可能要在成为储备货币上“动真格”了
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-21 10:35
Group 1 - Europe is experiencing a crisis of identity, moving away from its previous labels of peace, prosperity, and multilateralism towards seeking greater strategic autonomy [3][8] - The recent U.S. "reciprocal tariff" policy has disrupted global financial markets, yet the euro has appreciated against the dollar, prompting renewed calls for the euro's status as a reserve currency [3][7] - The European Central Bank (ECB) has indicated that enhancing the euro's status as a reserve currency could increase Europe's strategic autonomy, especially in light of U.S. foreign policy unpredictability [7][8] Group 2 - There is a potential for the eurozone to expand, with countries that have not yet adopted the euro, such as Sweden, Czech Republic, and Poland, recognizing the benefits of joining [4][8] - The ECB's previous reluctance to promote the euro as a reserve currency may change due to geopolitical factors, leading to increased intra-EU trade and a stronger euro [8][9] - The need for euro-denominated bonds is emphasized to finance Europe's transformation, showcasing the EU's ability to raise funds collectively rather than through individual member states [8][9] Group 3 - The global financial order is in need of reconstruction, with calls to reform institutions like the IMF and World Bank to better reflect the current economic landscape [10][11] - The rise of emerging economies, particularly China, has not been adequately represented in global financial institutions, leading to a perceived monopoly by Western nations [12][13] - A more multipolar world necessitates new rules for global finance and trade, with independent international institutions playing a crucial role in gathering key participants [13]