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齐心集团(002301):2025Q3点评:集采主业静待修复,SAAS业务趋势向好
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-02 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 7.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, down 11% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the revenue was 2.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 13%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 53 million yuan, down 17% year-on-year [2][4]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to pressure on the B2B procurement business, with a slowdown in procurement rhythm from some clients due to the broader economic environment [10]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its B2B business client structure and enhancing profitability through digital and AI-driven initiatives [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company managed to control expense ratios despite a decline in revenue, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios increasing slightly year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 is expected to improve due to a higher proportion of revenue from the high-margin SAAS business [10]. Business Segments - The B2B procurement business continues to focus on core clients, serving over 60% of 100 central enterprises, and aims for steady revenue growth and improved profitability [10]. - The new stationery business is expected to contribute positively, with ongoing product launches in the IP cultural and creative sector [10]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates achieving net profits attributable to shareholders of 170 million yuan, 200 million yuan, and 240 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27, 23, and 19 [10].