大型化发展

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日月股份(603218):铸件龙头,受益于风电装机高增、大型化发展
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 12:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the casting industry, benefiting from the high growth and large-scale development of wind power installations [4] - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 4.696 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.87%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is 624 million yuan, up 29.55% year-on-year [1][4] - The company is expected to see an increase in shipment volume in 2025 due to the rise in wind power installations, with a projected revenue of 6.333 billion yuan [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.34%, a decrease of 1.33 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to 13.11%, an increase of 2.83 percentage points [1] - The company reported a gross margin of 15.53% in Q1 2025, down 6.24 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 9.03%, down 3.25 percentage points [1] - The company’s net profit for 2025 is projected to be 784 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.7% [5] Market and Product Development Summary - The company is focusing on the development of large-scale wind turbine components, which are expected to enhance efficiency and reduce the cost of electricity generation [3] - The company has established a production capacity of 700,000 tons for casting and 420,000 tons for precision machining, allowing for flexible adjustments in production [2] - The company is expanding its market presence in high-end alloy steel and is actively developing large die-casting machines for the new energy vehicle sector [3] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 784 million yuan, 912 million yuan, and 1.048 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.3, 14.0, and 12.2 [4]