天然气业务成长

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杰瑞股份(002353):25H1营收+39%,天然气业务开启成长
HTSC· 2025-08-07 06:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an adjusted target price of 51.17 RMB, up from a previous value of 41.58 RMB, reflecting a 17 times PE for 2025 [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.901 billion RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 39.21%, with a net profit of 1.241 billion RMB, up 14.04% year-over-year [1]. - The natural gas business has shown significant growth, with a revenue increase of 112.69% year-over-year, indicating a strong second growth curve for the company [1]. - The company has secured new orders worth 9.881 billion RMB in H1 2025, a 37.65% increase year-over-year, supporting future performance [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.901 billion RMB, with a net profit of 1.241 billion RMB, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.231 billion RMB, reflecting increases of 39.21%, 14.04%, and 33.90% respectively [1]. - The overall gross margin decreased to 32.19%, down 3.40 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to a lower proportion of high-margin high-end equipment business [2]. Order Growth and Market Expansion - The company’s new orders reached 9.881 billion RMB in H1 2025, marking a 37.65% increase year-over-year, with total backlog orders at 12.386 billion RMB, up 34.76% [3]. - The overseas revenue for H1 2025 was 3.295 billion RMB, a 38.38% increase year-over-year, indicating successful global expansion [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards by 1.56%, 5.49%, and 5.25% to 3.086 billion RMB, 3.731 billion RMB, and 4.341 billion RMB respectively, with a CAGR of 18.59% [5]. - The report suggests a valuation premium based on the growth potential of the natural gas business, leading to an increased target price [5].