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天胶价格震荡调整
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申万期货品种策略日报:天胶-20260206
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - On Thursday, the natural rubber futures trended downward. With domestic production areas in a state of suspension, and Thailand's northeastern region set to gradually halt production in January while its southern region is in peak season, the total inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao continues to accumulate. In the short - term, the elasticity of the supply side weakens, and raw rubber prices remain relatively firm. The demand side supports stable production of all - steel tires. Synthetic rubber has seen a significant decline recently. It is expected that the natural rubber price will undergo oscillatory adjustments [2] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Futures Market - **Price Changes**: The previous day's closing prices of RU, NR, and BR were 16175, 13135, and 12925 respectively, with price drops of - 210, - 165, and - 435 and percentage drops of - 1.28%, - 1.24%, and - 3.26% compared to two days ago. The spreads of RU - BR, NR - BR, and RU - NR were 3040, 3250, and 210 respectively with changes of - 45, 225, and 270 compared to the previous values [2] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of RU, NR, and BR were 283333, 62662, and 112386 respectively. The open interests were 12925, 50827, and - 684 respectively, with changes of - 435, - 544, and 10 [2] - **Basis**: The current basis of RU, mixed - RU, and smoke - sheet - RU were - 175, - 915, and 2125 respectively, compared to previous values of - 185, - 1260, and 2115 [2] Spot Market - **Domestic Spot Prices**: The current prices of whole - latex in Shandong, Shanghai, and Kunming were 15900, 16000, and 15800 respectively, with percentage drops of - 1.08%, - 0.93%, and - 1.23%. The prices of smoke - sheet in Shandong and Shanghai were 18300, with a percentage drop of - 1.08%. The prices of mixed rubber in Qingdao and Yunnan were 15260 and 15750 respectively, with a change of 0.89% and - 1.25% [2] - **Downstream Spot Prices**: The current prices of Thai smoke - sheet, Thai cup - lump, and Thai latex were 61, 53.52, and 59 (Thai baht/kg) respectively, with percentage changes of - 0.31%, 1.50%, and 0.34% [2]