Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent rebound in marriage registrations in China, highlighting the cultural and policy factors contributing to this trend, and its potential implications for birth rates and societal structure [4][6][20]. Group 1: Marriage Registration Trends - In the first half of 2025, marriage registrations reached 3.539 million pairs, an increase of 109,000 pairs compared to the previous year, while divorces rose to 1.331 million pairs, up by 57,000 pairs [4][5]. - The marriage registration numbers in 2024 were the lowest since 1980, with only 6.106 million pairs registered [5]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a surprising increase in marriage registrations, with a rise of 26.9 thousand pairs, countering the decline observed in the first quarter [8][9]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Marriage Rates - Cultural factors, such as the "double spring year," have influenced marriage decisions, but policy changes are seen as more significant [11][12]. - The removal of barriers to marriage registration, including the cancellation of fees and the ability to register anywhere in the country, has facilitated the increase in marriage numbers [14][15]. - The timing of policy implementation coincided with peak wedding dates, enhancing its immediate impact [16]. Group 3: Implications for Birth Rates - Marriage is viewed as a precursor to childbirth, and the increase in marriage registrations is expected to positively influence birth rates in the following years [19][20]. - However, the article notes that while policy changes have eased marriage registration, further efforts are needed to sustain and reverse declining marriage and birth rates [20][30]. Group 4: Divorce Trends - The number of divorces also increased in the first half of 2025, with a growth rate of 4.5%, surpassing the marriage growth rate of 3.2% [21][22]. - The divorce rate has been affected by the implementation of a 30-day cooling-off period, which has led to fluctuations in divorce statistics over the past few years [24][25]. - The changing societal attitudes towards marriage and divorce, along with economic factors, are contributing to the rising divorce rates [28][29]. Group 5: Government Initiatives - The Chinese government is prioritizing marriage and childbirth as national objectives, implementing various supportive policies, including financial subsidies for families [30][32]. - Recent initiatives include annual subsidies for children up to three years old and extended parental leave policies across various provinces [34][36]. - The article emphasizes that reversing the trends in marriage and childbirth will require sustained efforts and a comprehensive approach rather than quick fixes [37].

婚育是人生大事，也是国之大事。 日前，民政部披露最新数据，2025年上半年结婚登记353.9万对，离婚人数133.1万对，分别增加10.9万对、5.7万对。 要知道，就在刚过去的2024年，全国结婚登记数为610.6万对，创下1980年以来的最低纪录。 历史最低之后，结婚人数突然迎来反弹，2025年全年结婚人数有望正增长。 释放了什么信号？能否带动出生人口逆转？ 1 结婚人数为何突然反弹？ 就在今年一季度，结婚人数还一度同比下降，延续下行走势，二季度陡然大增，出乎许多人意外。 日前，新修订的《婚姻登记条例》开始施行，祭出"结婚全国通办+取消户口本"的组合拳。 从历年经验来看，一季度横跨春节，历来是全年结婚高峰；二季度因为出外务工，加之缺少长假，一般都是结婚低峰。 今年却反其道而行之，二季度结婚人数大增26.9万对，不仅对冲一季度的降幅（-15.9万对），且带动上半年合计增加10.9万对。 这背后的原因，既有"双春年"等文化民俗因素的影响，但更重要的是政策带来的变数。 去年是"无春年"，今年则是"双春年"，民间素有"无春不结婚"、"双春结二婚"之说，不管信不信，它的确能左右部分人的结婚决策。 就此而言，今年新增 ...