Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Kevin Kelly's new book "2049: The Possibilities of the Next 10,000 Days," which envisions a hopeful future shaped by technology and human agency, emphasizing the importance of imagining and actively working towards a desirable future [5][10][12]. Group 1: Future Scenarios and Technology - Kelly's book outlines optimistic scenarios for the future, including advancements in transportation, employment, the internet, and entertainment, while also considering China's role in the global landscape [9][10]. - The concept of "scenario building" is introduced, where multiple potential futures are imagined, encouraging proactive steps to achieve a positive outcome [12][13]. - The dual nature of technology is highlighted, where it can bring both positive and negative impacts, necessitating a balanced perspective [6][15]. Group 2: Education and Learning - The future of education is discussed, emphasizing the need for lifelong learning and the integration of AI as a core component of the educational experience [17][19]. - Kelly suggests that the focus should shift from acquiring specific knowledge to mastering the ability to learn effectively, as future careers may not yet exist [20][22]. - The importance of teaching students how to ask good questions is emphasized, as this skill will be crucial in a world where AI can provide answers [20][22]. Group 3: AI and Content Creation - The article explores the impact of AI on the content industry, suggesting that while AI will generate content, human journalists will still be needed to manage and take responsibility for the output [26][28]. - Kelly predicts that the role of journalists will evolve, with a greater emphasis on accountability and quality assurance in the age of AI-generated content [28][29]. Group 4: The "Mirror World" Concept - Kelly introduces the idea of a "mirror world," where augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) technologies will blend the physical and digital realms, fundamentally changing how people interact with their environment [35][37]. - The realization of this mirror world depends on the affordability and efficiency of AI technologies integrated into smart glasses [40]. Group 5: Future Technologies - Five key technologies are identified for future exploration: robotics, autonomous driving, space travel, life sciences, and brain-computer interfaces, each with the potential to revolutionize various aspects of life [50][51]. - Kelly expresses skepticism about the widespread adoption of humanoid robots in households, suggesting they will first be utilized in controlled work environments [52]. - The future of autonomous vehicles is discussed, with the expectation that driving will become less common as AI takes over more driving tasks [56]. Group 6: Population Dynamics and Longevity - Kelly predicts a demographic shift towards an aging population, which will pose challenges for innovation and societal structure [68]. - The potential for advancements in life sciences, including vaccines for major diseases, is seen as a way to extend healthy lifespans, but the overall impact on societal dynamics remains complex [66][68]. Group 7: The Future of Silicon Valley - The article concludes with reflections on the future of Silicon Valley, suggesting that while established companies may decline, new startups will emerge, potentially changing the landscape of innovation and competition [74][75].

此外，陈全生提出，教育应重视抽象思维、逻辑思维及价值观塑造。希腊基础教育以数学、几何、音 乐、天文为核心，旨在培养世界观与自律精神。"数学训练抽象思维，几何培养逻辑推理，音乐传递人 类共同美感，天文则让人敬畏自然。" 陈全生呼吁AI技术应服务于这些目标，例如通过互动程序提升学生的提问能力。"学问学问，学会问问 题，你就有学问。"陈全生说。 谈及语言学习，陈全生认为外语不仅是工具，更是"认识世界的通道"。"多一门语言如同多一只眼睛， 能更立体地理解文化差异。"陈全生表示，要鼓励通过AI技术优化语言教育。 （文章来源：中国经营报） 4月11日，由中国经营报社与天立国际主办，中国社科院新闻与传播研究所媒介传播与青少年发展研究 中心协办的"AI赋能教育：探索转型升级与应用实践的新路径"研讨会在北京召开。 著名经济学家、国务院原参事陈全生在研讨会上表示，AI与教育的关系应明确"行为主体"，在该领域， AI的应用必须由教育行业主导。他提到，AI可替代规则性劳动，但情感、思维等非规则性教育仍需依 赖教师，在教育与AI的融合过程中，教师则扮演着非常重要的角色。 例如，AI可通过分析学生数据辅助教师制定个性化学习方案，但如何设 ...