Group 1 - The recent stock price movement of Netflix shows volatility, with a decline of 3.54% on September 11, resulting in a cumulative drop of 4.73% over two days, attracting investor attention [1] - The upcoming departure of Chief Product Officer Eunice Kim is a significant factor contributing to investor concerns regarding Netflix's strategic direction and operational stability [1] - Increased competition in the streaming market necessitates continuous innovation from Netflix to maintain its competitive edge, leading to cautious optimism among investors regarding future growth potential [1] Group 2 - The global macroeconomic environment impacts Netflix's stock price, as economic data, market expectations, and international events can influence consumer spending and demand for subscription streaming services [1] - Investors are advised to remain vigilant but not overly alarmed by Netflix's stock price fluctuations, focusing on the company's strategic adjustments and financial health [2] - Long-term investors who are patient and willing to conduct in-depth analysis may find that time serves as a protector of value, viewing short-term market volatility as an opportunity to reassess investment logic [2]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer finance industry is experiencing a shift, with most licensed institutions showing growth in revenue and profit, while Zhaolian Consumer Finance has reported declines in total assets, revenue, and net profit for the first half of 2025, despite maintaining the highest net profit in the industry at 1.504 billion yuan [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Zhaolian Consumer Finance reported revenue of 7.899 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.77% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.504 billion yuan, down 12.76% year-on-year [1][2]. - As of June 30, 2025, the total assets of Zhaolian Consumer Finance were 157.722 billion yuan, a reduction of 60.29 billion yuan from the end of 2024, representing a decline of 3.68% [1][2]. - The company has entered a downward performance cycle since 2024, marking its first instance of simultaneous revenue and profit decline in nine years, with annual revenue and net profit decreasing by 11.65% and 16.22% respectively [1][3]. Market Conditions - The macroeconomic environment has contributed to Zhaolian Consumer Finance's performance decline, with slow recovery in consumer credit demand and increased caution among consumers regarding borrowing [3]. - The consumer finance industry is now in a phase of stock competition, limiting growth opportunities for leading institutions like Zhaolian Consumer Finance, which has seen its total assets, revenue, and net profit decline since 2024 [3]. Historical Growth Trends - Zhaolian Consumer Finance previously experienced high growth rates, with revenue growth exceeding 50% from 2016 to 2019, peaking at 1070% in 2016 [3]. - The revenue growth rate fell to 9.8% in 2022, and while it rebounded to 12% in 2023, it dropped again to -11.65% in 2024 [3]. Product Performance - In 2024, the loan balance for Zhaolian Consumer Finance's "Good Period Loan" decreased to 99.13 billion yuan, down 8.57%, and the "Credit Payment" loan balance fell to 69.649 billion yuan, down 5.51% [5][6]. - The company faces significant customer acquisition and retention pressures in an increasingly competitive market [5]. Asset Quality and Financial Ratios - Zhaolian Consumer Finance's debt scale decreased alongside its business scale, with interest expenses relative to average interest-bearing liabilities declining by 0.45 percentage points [7]. - The company reported a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.95% in 2024, a significant decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous year, and a provision coverage ratio that increased by 107.58 percentage points to 471.63% [7][8]. Risk Management - Zhaolian Consumer Finance has actively written off high-risk customers and increased lending to low-risk customers to stabilize asset quality, with a total of 14.478 billion yuan in bad loans written off in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23.32% [9]. - The overall recovery rate for overdue loans remains high, with overdue loans amounting to 6.404 billion yuan at the end of 2024, representing 3.79% of total loans, a decrease of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year [9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a revenue growth of 16% year-over-year, reaching nearly $5 billion [7] - Gross margin expanded by 230 basis points to 57.9%, while operating margins improved by 200 basis points to 23.6% [7][36] - Earnings per share increased by 30% to $6.33 compared to the previous year [7][38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HOKA brand revenue increased by 24% to $2.2 billion, with wholesale revenue growing 24% and DTC revenue rising 23% [11][36] - UGG brand revenue grew by 13% to $2.5 billion, with wholesale revenue increasing 15% and DTC revenue rising 11% [24][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue for HOKA expanded by 39%, now representing 34% of global revenue, up from 30% last year [11] - UGG's international revenue increased by 20%, now accounting for 39% of global sales, up from 37% last year [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for a balanced channel mix of 50% DTC and 50% wholesale, focusing on brand-led growth and expanding international presence [9][10] - HOKA is positioned as a leading performance brand with plans to enhance product innovation and expand into lifestyle and fitness categories [19][23] - UGG is focusing on increasing adoption among male consumers and developing year-round products to capture a broader market [26][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty due to shifting U.S. trade policy but expressed confidence in the company's ability to adapt [8] - The company expects fiscal year 2026 to face challenges, including potential tariff impacts of up to $150 million on cost of goods sold [39][41] - Despite these challenges, management remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects for both HOKA and UGG [49] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $567 million worth of shares during fiscal year 2025, reflecting strong cash flow and confidence in its strategic plan [38][47] - A new board chair, Cindy Davis, was announced, succeeding Mike Devine, who retired after 14 years of service [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors contributed to the slowdown in HOKA U.S. DTC? - Management noted that the slowdown was due to unique factors in the U.S. market, including model changeovers and increased promotions, but expressed confidence in international performance [55][56] Question: Is mid-teens growth for HOKA still possible? - Management indicated that while they are not providing formal guidance, they remain optimistic about mid-teens growth based on strong international performance and brand awareness [60][64] Question: Can you elaborate on the impact of tariff costs? - The $150 million tariff cost is a gross estimate, and management is exploring pricing adjustments and cost-sharing strategies to mitigate the impact [75][76] Question: How will HOKA's growth be split between DTC and wholesale? - Management emphasized that the growth framework includes strategic expansion of wholesale distribution, which is expected to drive consumer engagement and brand awareness [81][82]