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你敢降息,我就敢抛!中国抛售189亿美债,美国慌了:可以见面聊
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 04:25
Economic Dynamics - The U.S. Treasury's report on international capital flows indicates a significant change in the overseas holding pattern of U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly a continued reduction by China, which has decreased its holdings by nearly $280 billion from 2022 to 2024 [1][3] - The current U.S. national debt has surpassed $34 trillion, with a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 120%, raising concerns about the safety and yield of U.S. Treasuries amid fluctuating monetary policies by the Federal Reserve [1][3] Capital Flow Trends - In March, overseas funds saw a total inflow of $254.3 billion into U.S. securities, indicating some attractiveness of the U.S. financial market; however, this was driven by a stark contrast between $259.2 billion in private capital inflows and $4.9 billion in official capital outflows [3][6] - This trend reflects a division in international capital, where central banks are reducing their holdings of U.S. Treasuries for safety reasons, while private capital is entering the market to capitalize on anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3][6] Diplomatic Efforts - Trump's recent Middle East visit aimed to strengthen economic ties and reduce Gulf countries' relations with China, but the likelihood of achieving these goals is considered very low due to unmet core demands from countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE [6][8] - The visit highlighted the strategic importance of the Middle East as an energy hub, with Trump claiming to secure investment agreements worth thousands of dollars, yet the underlying strategic objectives remain challenging to fulfill [6][8] Geopolitical Implications - The juxtaposition of Trump's ambitious diplomatic goals against ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine underscores a significant gap between U.S. commitments and actual outcomes, potentially undermining U.S. diplomatic credibility [8] - The evolving landscape of U.S. Treasury holdings and Middle Eastern diplomatic actions illustrates the complexities of U.S. economic and foreign policy, raising questions about how the U.S. will balance economic stability with geopolitical maneuvering in the future [8]