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挖掘机内需回暖明显 全年正增长可期
Group 1 - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a recovery in domestic demand and steady growth in export markets since 2025, with excavator sales reaching 120,500 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [1] - Domestic excavator sales accounted for 65,600 units, up 22.9% year-on-year, while exports reached 54,900 units, increasing by 10.2% [1] - Loader sales also showed a positive trend, with total sales of 64,800 units in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.6% [1] Group 2 - Domestic demand is being driven by equipment updates and local government debt reduction policies, with a notable recovery in housing starts, which improved from a year-on-year decline of 29.6% to 22.8% [2] - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) maintained a robust year-on-year growth of 5.6% from January to May 2025 [2] - In June 2025, excavator sales reached 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, with domestic sales at 8,136 units, up 6.2% [2] Group 3 - Despite facing trade friction risks, the export of engineering machinery products continues to grow, with excavator export volume showing a significant rebound in June [3] - Major overseas markets, including Japan, Europe, North America, and Indonesia, reported varying demand levels, with some regions experiencing growth in operating hours for excavators [3] - The company anticipates a decline in overall overseas demand but is focusing on enhancing its position in emerging markets while expanding its business in Europe and North America [3] Group 4 - The company expects stable positive growth in domestic earth-moving equipment demand in the second half of 2025, with an annual growth rate projected to exceed double digits [4] - Continued government initiatives in urban renewal and old community renovation, along with increased fiscal and monetary policies, are expected to drive rigid replacement demand [4] - Stable support from non-ferrous mining, major water conservancy projects, and high-standard farmland projects will gradually release demand dividends [4]