Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the impact of geopolitical tensions and U.S. domestic policies on oil prices, highlighting the volatility in the market due to these factors [1][3][4] - The U.S. Department of Homeland Security announced a 50% tariff on Indian products as a response to India's oil purchases from Russia, effective from August 27, which is part of broader efforts by the Trump administration to mediate peace between Russia and Ukraine [2][3] - The attacks on the "Friendship" oil pipeline by Ukraine have raised concerns about supply chain disruptions, with a significant reduction in daily oil transport, affecting energy security in Hungary and Slovakia [2][5] Group 2 - The "Deng Zhenghong Soft Power Model" quantifies the influence of geopolitical risks, policy dynamics, and market sentiment on oil prices, indicating that geopolitical soft power is currently a major factor affecting oil price fluctuations [3][4] - The model reveals that the geopolitical risk premium is approximately $3.20 per barrel, reflecting market expectations of supply disruptions over the next 8-12 weeks due to the ongoing conflict [3][4] - The market's reaction to Trump's comments about oil prices dropping below $60 has led to significant trading activity, with algorithmic trading accounts selling 48 million barrels of futures contracts shortly after his remarks [5]