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技能革命还是就业挑战?国际劳工组织谈AI职场
Core Insights - The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the global labor market is still limited, but its effects are becoming clearer, particularly in high-skill jobs [1][2][5] - The International Labour Organization (ILO) emphasizes the need for countries to adopt proactive policies and investments to turn challenges posed by AI into opportunities for inclusive growth [1][2] Group 1: AI's Impact on Employment - AI is expected to affect one-quarter of global jobs, with high-income countries facing a higher impact rate of 34% [1] - The dual effect of job creation and replacement is evident in specific sectors like software engineering, where AI has created numerous jobs but also poses risks due to its potential to automate coding tasks [2][5] - High-skill and medium-skill workers are primarily affected by AI, while low-skill laborers are currently less impacted, although this may change with further integration of AI and robotics [2][5] Group 2: Challenges for Emerging Economies - Emerging and developing economies face unique challenges in adopting AI, including insufficient digital infrastructure, a shortage of high-skilled software talent, and outdated regulatory frameworks [2][5] - Blindly mimicking policies from developed economies without considering local contexts may yield limited results for these countries [2][5] Group 3: Recommendations for Skills Development - Investment in education and skills development is crucial, focusing on complementary skills that AI cannot easily replace [7][10] - The establishment of a "micro-credential" system is recommended, allowing workers to gain specific skill certifications through short, flexible training programs [12] - Successful models like dual vocational training systems, which combine school education with on-the-job training, are suggested to align skills development with market needs [9][11] Group 4: Role of ILO and Government - The ILO plays a key role in assisting member countries in adapting to changes in the labor market due to AI, providing guidance on regulatory frameworks and skills development [8][10] - Governments are encouraged to leverage AI to enhance public services and ensure fair labor conditions, using AI tools for better labor monitoring and service delivery [10][11]