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世纪裁决!美国最高法院这一刀,可能砍向美联储根基
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 05:22
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on a labor dispute involving the dismissal of two labor committee members by President Trump poses a significant threat to the independence of the Federal Reserve and could undermine the foundational principles of American governance [2][4][6]. Group 1: Legal Implications - The case challenges the precedent set by the Humphrey's Executor v. United States ruling, which states that the President cannot dismiss independent agency officials for political reasons [2][4]. - The Supreme Court's conservative justices have allowed Trump to suspend the two labor committee members, indicating a potential shift in judicial interpretation that could affect the independence of various regulatory bodies [4][6]. - The ruling could set a precedent that undermines the dual protections of the Federal Reserve's independence, which is currently safeguarded by statutory term limits and judicial precedent [4][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Wall Street is reacting to the potential loss of Federal Reserve independence, with Goldman Sachs warning that gold prices could soar above $4,500 if this independence collapses [4]. - The U.S. dollar has already fallen back to levels seen in early 2024, reflecting a broader loss of trust in the financial system [4][6]. Group 3: Historical Context - The situation draws parallels to the 1970s when President Nixon pressured the Federal Reserve, leading to stagflation with inflation rates reaching 14% and unemployment exceeding 10% [4][6]. - The current political maneuvering raises concerns about the future of independent regulatory agencies in the U.S., as the outcome of this case could impact over 50 independent bodies, including the SEC and FCC [6][8]. Group 4: Broader Implications - The ruling could signify a shift towards a more centralized executive power, challenging the foundational principle of checks and balances in the U.S. government [6][8]. - The potential for presidential control over interest rates could transform monetary policy from an economic tool into a means of political power [8].