成本法

Search documents
供给侧改革2.0启动,钢铁指数人气回升!相关ETF布局正当时?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 07:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the significance of the supply-side reform 2.0, which aims to eliminate backward production capacity and effectively address chaotic competition in the industry [1] - The supply-side reform initiated in 2015 led to substantial price increases in commodities, with rebar futures soaring from 843 yuan/ton to 3147 yuan/ton, a 273% increase, and coking coal prices rising from 203 yuan to 719 yuan, a 3.5-fold increase [1] - The recent performance of the steel industry, particularly the China Steel Index, has mirrored past trends, with a notable increase of over 3.5% in a single day, indicating a potential revival similar to the previous supply-side reform [1][4] Group 2 - The current supply-side reform is characterized by unprecedented policy strength, focusing on eliminating low-price competition and orderly phasing out of backward production capacity, suggesting a potential for significant market recovery [6] - The valuation of steel stocks should consider the cyclical nature of the industry, with many steel companies currently valued below their replacement cost by 0.35 times, indicating a sufficient margin of safety [6] - The comparison between the China Steel Index and the National Steel Industry Index shows a high degree of overlap, with both indices focusing on the steel industry, although the China Steel Index includes some coal companies [7] Group 3 - The performance of funds tracking the China Steel Index and the National Steel Industry Index has been similar, with differences in returns being minimal, generally within 0.1% [12] - Specific funds, such as the Guolian National Steel A and Penghua National Steel Industry A, have shown significant returns of 8.10% and 7.66% respectively, outperforming the CSI 300 index [14] - The article suggests that as the economy develops, steel consumption will stabilize, with a shift from rebar consumption in construction to sheet metal consumption in manufacturing, indicating a potential improvement in profitability for the steel sector [14]
货币基金的偏离度怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 10:39
Group 1 - The core concept of the article revolves around the importance of the deviation degree of money market funds as a risk indicator, alongside traditional yield metrics like the 7-day annualized yield [1][3] - The deviation degree is calculated using the formula: (shadow pricing net value - amortized cost net value) / amortized cost net value * 100%, indicating the difference between market value and book value of the fund's assets [2][3] - A positive deviation indicates potential unrealized gains, while a negative deviation suggests unrealized losses, which could materialize during redemptions [3][4] Group 2 - Fund managers are required to calculate the deviation degree on each valuation day, and if the absolute value exceeds certain thresholds, they must take specific actions and disclose information accordingly [3][4] - The thresholds for deviation degree are set at 0.25% and 0.5%, with corresponding actions required from fund managers to mitigate risks [4] - Investors can find deviation degree information in the fund's quarterly, semi-annual, and annual reports, specifically in the "Investment Portfolio Report" section [5][6] Group 3 - A specific fund's quarterly report indicated that the absolute value of the deviation degree was between 0.25% and 0.5% for 0 times, with a maximum deviation of 0.1600% and a minimum of 0.0228% [7] - The average absolute value of the deviation degree for each working day during the reporting period was 0.0854% [7] - Overall, the deviation degree serves as a crucial indicator for investors to gauge potential valuation volatility risks in money market funds, with short-term deviations being a normal occurrence [8]
休眠一年后“复活”吸金逾80亿,这类债基为何总遭机构“控场”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 12:15
成也机构、休也机构 因机构撤离陷入数月"休眠"的基金产品,在重启运作后短期吸引了大量资金,甚至触发比例配售。近 来,这样"起死回生"的现象发生在汇安恒利39个月定开(009305.SZ)、南华瑞泰39个月定开等产品身 上。 在业内人士看来,这类债基产品能够"重生"并恢复运作,主要是制度设计的灵活性、机构资金的配置需 求,以及债券市场波动等多方面因素作用,其中一位头部基金公司人士认为,暂停运作的核心动因在于 债券资产的"性价比失衡",而重启的关键在于"赔率修复"。当债券配置价值回升,管理人可通过降费、 精准营销等方式吸引机构资金再度入场。 与此同时,近来债基的关注度也有所提升。过去一个月,新发市场债基发行规模占比环比增加近两成, 多只债基提前结束募集;同时,资金加速流入相关债券ETF,5月净流入量超过400亿元,环比增加 45%。 休眠数月后"复活" 近来,汇安恒利39个月定开强势逆袭表现,引发市场关注。5月30日,汇安基金公告称,该产品在此次 开放期内累计申购申请金额已超过80亿元的产品规模上限,触发比例配售机制,有效申购申请确认比例 为92.81%。 事实上,基金产品在短时间内"吸金"超80亿元,在行业内并 ...
一天申购超80亿!“迷你基”业绩平平却成功翻身,什么原因?
券商中国· 2025-05-23 09:48
这只基金时隔10个月后重启运作,一天内获80多亿资金进入。 根据南华基金5月22日公告,南华瑞泰39个月定开债基本次开放期为5月20日至6月17日,由于5月20日申购规模触及80亿元上限,该基金提前结束开放期,提前进入 下一个封闭期。 券商中国记者查阅公开信息发现,该基金在2021年成立时规模有25亿元,但在2024年封闭期打开后遭遇机构投资者赎回,截至2024年三季度末规模只剩下20多万 元。随后,该基金宣布暂停运作,直至今年5月才重启运作。 分析人士对券商中国记者分析称,这个做法较为少见,基金公司对迷你基金的处理更多是清盘。但对中小基金公司而言,拿到基金产品批文不容易,通过暂停运作 来保住产品,更为合理。但一天内进来80多亿元资金,着实让其他中小基金公司羡慕。 之前规模只有20多万元 根据南华基金5月22日公告,截至5月20日,南华瑞泰39个月定开债基本次开放期内累计申购申请金额已超过80亿元的规模上限。经统计,5月20日该基金的有效申 购申请确认比例为94.117078%。根据南华基金公告,南华瑞泰39个月定开债基的开放期为5月20日至6月17日,但由于5月20日当天申购资金超过80亿元,该基金只 开放 ...
国泰海通|固收:REITs估值视野:量价核心逻辑——REITs手册基础篇(二)
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-05-14 15:05
报告导读: 对底层资产现金流的剖析是进行 REITs 估值的基础,本文针对 REITs 估值进 行详细展开,由点到面分析当前 REITs 的估值逻辑。 REIT 估值方法主要包括三类:成本法,市场法和收益法,本质是分别基于投入成本、市场价值与未来收 益对 REIT 资产进行估值。 中国公募 REITs 政策明确要求以收益法作为基础设施项目估值的主要方法。 采用收益法契合 REIT 收益稳定性较高,强制分红等特征,也有利于倒逼提升 REITs 市场信息透明度。 ③ 经营收入到可供分配金额的调整。 REITs 要求分红需基于可供分配金额,因此虽然底层资产经营情况 是决定 REITs 估值的核心变量,但可供分配金额的调整对实际分红分派乃至估值模型的影响同样值得关 注。此外,期初预留资金与外部杠杆也会影响各期分配金额。我们将 EBITDA 与可供分配金额的差额设为 调整项,从实际项目情况来看,调整项对可供分配金额的影响普遍在 +/-20% 左右,部分项目影响超 50% ,甚至 100% 。 ④ 差补机制有利于平滑项目收入。 2024 年以来部分新发 REITs 项目带有收益分配调节机制,即通过协 议承诺保障底层资产的 ...
【光大研究每日速递】20250314
光大证券研究· 2025-03-13 09:05
特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【有色】从重置成本角度再看锂矿板块投资价值——碳酸锂产业链研究报告之八 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 参考上轮周期,出清阶段股价整体呈上涨趋势。锂矿缺乏估值的"锚",重置成本法或可更公允地反映企业 的资产价值。锂矿重置成本测算包括以矿业权为主的无形资产以及锂盐冶炼厂、矿山采选厂为主的固定资 产等。从重置成本计算结果看,即使只考虑锂矿业务部分公司也已经处于折价。 (王招华/马俊) 2025- 03-13 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【石化化工交运】商业航天产业带动需求,铬产业链有望打开成长空间——行业日报第33期 (20250312) 2013年起国家逐步引导、鼓励社会资本参与我国航天事业,政府工作报告明确提出"推动商业航天、低空 经济等新兴产业 ...