成长性与防御配置
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国泰海通:食品饮料板块迎供需两侧出清 具备成长性与防御配置型机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 07:25
Group 1 - The food and beverage sector is experiencing cyclical opportunities from both supply-side and demand-side adjustments, with performance advantages in beverage, snack, and raw material growth stocks, as well as a continued trend of cost advantages and improved competitive landscape [1] - In the liquor segment, companies are actively seeking change amid a challenging consumption environment, with high-end, sub-high-end, and regional liquor revenues showing year-on-year changes of +3%, -5%, and -27% respectively, and net profits changing by +1%, -19%, and -42% respectively [1] - The industry is accelerating inventory reduction, with companies focusing on product innovation and channel transformation to seek growth, while some high-end liquor brands maintain revenue growth through balanced channel management [1] Group 2 - In the consumer goods segment, there is a divergence in performance, with structural growth in the growth track, excellent performance in beverages, stable beer sales, and significant differentiation in snacks, while leading companies in the seasoning and dairy sectors show marginal improvements [2] - The beer sector remains stable during peak season, with relatively low impact from policies and consumption environment, and profit margins reaching new highs, with expectations for maintaining or increasing dividends [2] - The growth stocks in the consumer goods sector present both growth opportunities and defensive allocation opportunities [2]