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滨江集团(002244):优质的资产负债表进退自如,经营节奏稳步推进
CMS· 2025-11-03 12:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 13.00 CNY per share, corresponding to a 2025 PE of 14.4X [1][5]. Core Insights - The main reasons for the improvement in the company's performance in Q3 2025 include an increase in delivery volume, improved gross margin, and effective cost control [2][12]. - The company achieved a sales completion rate of 86% of its annual target by October 2025, with a total sales amount of 863.5 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.3% [12]. - The company has actively seized opportunities in the land market, increasing both investment intensity and the proportion of equity land acquisition in the first ten months of 2025 [12]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenues of 200.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.4 billion CNY, up 16% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 12.9%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the total expense ratio decreased to 2.6%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year [3]. - The company’s financial data shows projected revenues of 72,596 million CNY for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5% [4]. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.91 CNY, 1.01 CNY, and 1.10 CNY respectively [1][12]. Debt and Financial Health - The company maintains a comfortable strategic space due to effective debt control, with total interest-bearing liabilities amounting to 321.4 billion CNY, a slight increase of 1.3% from the previous report [12]. - The cash ratio to short-term borrowings is 4.3 times, indicating a strong ability to cover short-term debts [12]. Market Position and Valuation - The report suggests that the long-term logic of improving industry competition may elevate the valuation premium for quality real estate companies, with the company’s product capabilities being strong within the industry [1][12].