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连平:“十五五”期间人民币国际化步伐应显著加快
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 11:13
Core Viewpoint - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is essential for China to respond to external shocks and enhance its international competitiveness, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][3] Group 1: RMB Internationalization Progress - Since its initiation in 2009, the RMB has made continuous progress in trade settlement, commodity pricing, international financial transactions, and official reserves, yet its global usage remains disproportionate to China's economic scale and influence [3][6] - The sixth Central Financial Work Conference emphasizes building a strong RMB, indicating a new phase for RMB internationalization supported by top-level design and strategic necessity [3][4] Group 2: External Challenges and Opportunities - The increasing uncertainty in the global trade environment, including the implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" by the U.S. since 2025, adds pressure on foreign trade, making RMB cross-border usage crucial for reducing exchange rate risks and enhancing pricing power in commodities [4][5] - The global trend of "de-dollarization" accelerated by the weaponization of the dollar and unilateral sanctions presents an opportunity for the RMB to play a leading role [5][6] Group 3: Support Factors for RMB Internationalization - The continuous expansion of China's import and export scale and diversified market layout provide greater space for RMB cross-border payment settlements [6][7] - The rising proportion of RMB usage in energy and mineral trade, along with improvements in the cross-border credit environment, supports the potential for increased RMB usage in global credit markets [6][7] Group 4: Policy Recommendations for RMB Internationalization - Recommendations include expanding RMB usage in commodity pricing and settlement, enhancing cross-border payment infrastructure, and promoting RMB settlement in developing countries and strategic partners [8] - Key measures also involve improving capital account convertibility, market-oriented RMB exchange rates, and increasing gold reserves to bolster the international credibility of the RMB [8]