Core Insights - The investment market operates on four levels: preserving capital, controlling risk, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable profits. Successful investors are those who can sustain profitability over time, rather than being swayed by short-term gains or losses [1] Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, breaking the psychological barrier of $3,800 and reaching a historical high. This surge is driven by increasing risks of a U.S. government shutdown and inflation data that aligns with expectations, reinforcing market bets on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][4] - The medium to long-term trend for gold remains bullish, with potential to reach $3,900 or higher if the current momentum continues. A significant bullish candlestick formation is anticipated, indicating further upward movement [2][4] - Technical indicators suggest that gold remains strong above the 5-day moving average, with key resistance levels identified at $3,840-$3,850 and support levels at $3,810-$3,800 [4] Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil futures have declined by 0.90% to $69.50 per barrel, while WTI fell by 0.99% to $65.07 per barrel, nearly reversing last week's gains. OPEC+ is expected to approve an increase in production by at least 137,000 barrels per day, yet actual production remains below targets, creating a supply gap of nearly 500,000 barrels per day [5] - The oil market is currently caught between signals of increased supply and ongoing production shortfalls, with geopolitical tensions adding complexity. Short-term price movements are expected to remain volatile, but the market may maintain a bullish bias if Russian energy exports continue to face restrictions [5][6] - Technical analysis indicates that oil prices are in a consolidation phase, with a trading range between $66.00 and $60.80. The MACD indicator suggests a potential shift towards bullish momentum, although short-term trends may indicate downward pressure [6]