投资表现
Search documents
中国财险(02328):COR改善幅度超预期,投资表现亮眼
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-30 05:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6][18] Core Views - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 increased by 92.7% year-on-year to 11.312 billion RMB, exceeding the expected growth range of 80%-100% [5][6] - The improvement in the Combined Operating Ratio (COR) was better than expected, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.4 percentage points to 94.5%, driven by reduced disaster losses and optimized expense inputs [5][6] - The company has seen a significant increase in underwriting profit, which rose by 183% year-on-year to 6.653 billion RMB [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 insurance premium income and service revenue were 180.421 billion RMB and 120.741 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.7% and 6.1% [5][8] - The company’s investment performance was strong, with a year-on-year increase in total investment return rate of 0.4 percentage points to 1.2% [6] - The financial investment asset allocation as of March 2025 included 30.6% in FVOCI equities, an increase of 2.2 percentage points from the end of 2024 [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected operating revenue for 2025 is 516.176 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.4% [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 34.954 billion RMB, representing an 8.6% year-on-year increase [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.57 RMB, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.31 [7] Segment Analysis - In Q1 2025, the auto insurance premium income and service revenue were 71.696 billion RMB and 74.334 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 3.5% and 2.8% [8] - Non-auto insurance premium income and service revenue reached 108.725 billion RMB and 46.407 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 3.8% and 11.7% [8]