2025.11. 20 本文字数：1575，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郭霁莹 全球燃气轮机市场正迎来历史性爆发。GE Vernova（通用电气能源业务板块）、西门子能源、三菱重工等全球巨头均呈订单加速、产能紧张态势。 2025财年，西门子能源未交付订单量再创新高，达1380亿欧元，公司上半年燃气轮机新订单中约六成来自数据中心；GE Vernova去年新增燃气轮机订 单20.2GW，同比增长112.6%，公司当前积压订单已排至2028年；三菱重工则计划在未来两年内将燃机产能提高一倍。 需求爆发源于北美地区电力供需矛盾持续激化，其中AI（人工智能）数据中心快速扩张是催化剂。美国能源部数据显示，2023年美国数据中心耗电 176TWh，占总电力需求4.4%；预计到2028年耗电量将增至325TWh-580TWh，占美国电力需求比重升至6.7%-12%。产业端动作进一步印证了这一趋 势，据彭博一致性预期，北美头部四家云厂商今年总资本开支（含融资租赁）将达3620亿美元，同比增长58.5%，2026年仍将保持约30%的高增速。 供给端，北美电力电网老化严重，大批老旧煤电、气电项目退役，而传统气电项目建设周 ...

Group 1 - The global gas turbine market is experiencing a historic surge, with major players like GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries seeing accelerated orders and tight production capacity [1] - Siemens Energy's unfulfilled order volume reached a record high of €138 billion for FY2025, with approximately 60% of new gas turbine orders in the first half coming from data centers [1] - GE Vernova added 20.2 GW in new gas turbine orders last year, a year-on-year increase of 112.6%, with current backlog extending to 2028 [1] Group 2 - The demand surge is driven by escalating power supply-demand conflicts in North America, particularly due to the rapid expansion of AI data centers [1][2] - The U.S. Department of Energy reported that data centers consumed 176 TWh of electricity in 2023, accounting for 4.4% of total electricity demand, with projections of consumption rising to between 325 TWh and 580 TWh by 2028 [1] - North America's top four cloud providers are expected to have total capital expenditures of $362 billion this year, a year-on-year increase of 58.5% [1] Group 3 - The aging power grid in North America and the retirement of many old coal and gas projects are exacerbating the power supply-demand imbalance, with a projected annual power load increase of over 30 GW in the next five years [2] - Gas-fired power generation is seen as the optimal solution to alleviate power supply-demand conflicts, given its high thermal efficiency, quick start-up, short construction cycle, stable power output, low cost, and relative cleanliness [2] - Bloomberg New Energy Finance predicts that the new gas-fired power generation capacity in the U.S. will reach 16.8 GW from 2026 to 2031 [2] Group 4 - The high industry prosperity is reflected in the Chinese capital market, with significant stock price increases for gas turbine concept stocks [2] - Companies like Yingliu Technology and Weichai Power have seen substantial stock price gains, with Yingliu Technology's stock rising over 150% this year [2] Group 5 - Chinese companies are deeply integrated into the global supply chain, with Yingliu Technology being the exclusive supplier of Siemens Energy's H-class blades in China [3] - The trend of hydrogen co-firing is emerging in the gas turbine industry, which can reduce carbon emissions and stabilize natural gas price fluctuations [3] - The increasing penetration of renewable energy and the large-scale application of green hydrogen in China may drive demand for hydrogen co-firing gas turbines, enhancing their share in the power supply [3]

Group 1 - The global gas turbine market is experiencing a historic surge, with major players like GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries seeing accelerated orders and tight production capacity [1] - Siemens Energy's unfulfilled order backlog reached a record high of €138 billion for FY2025, with approximately 60% of new gas turbine orders in the first half coming from data centers [1] - GE Vernova added 20.2 GW of new gas turbine orders last year, a year-on-year increase of 112.6%, with current backlog extending to 2028 [1] - Mitsubishi Heavy Industries plans to double its gas turbine production capacity within the next two years [1] Group 2 - The demand surge is driven by the escalating power supply-demand imbalance in North America, particularly due to the rapid expansion of AI data centers [2] - In 2023, U.S. data centers consumed 176 TWh of electricity, accounting for 4.4% of total power demand, with projections indicating consumption could rise to 325 TWh-580 TWh by 2028, increasing its share to 6.7%-12% [2] - North American cloud providers are expected to have a total capital expenditure of $362 billion this year, a year-on-year increase of 58.5%, maintaining a high growth rate of around 30% through 2026 [1][2] Group 3 - The aging power grid in North America and the retirement of many old coal and gas projects create a short-term challenge in alleviating the power supply-demand imbalance [2] - Gas-fired power generation is seen as the optimal solution to address this imbalance, with gas turbines offering high thermal efficiency, quick start-up, short construction periods, stable power output, low costs, and relatively clean energy [2] - The construction cost of gas power plants in the U.S. has surged by approximately 50% over the past three years, reflecting growing demand and tight supply of gas turbines [2] Group 4 - The high industry growth is also reflected in the Chinese capital market, with significant stock price increases for gas turbine-related companies [5] - Companies like Yingliu Technology and Weichai Power have seen substantial stock price gains, indicating a deep integration of the Chinese supply chain with international giants [5] - Key domestic suppliers are expected to benefit from the opportunity to enter the global supply chain, particularly in high-value components like turbine blades and core parts [5] Group 5 - Hydrogen combustion is emerging as a development trend in the gas turbine industry, with the potential to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate natural gas price volatility [6] - Collaborations between gas turbine manufacturers and Chinese power companies are underway to explore hydrogen combustion technologies [6] - The increasing penetration of renewable energy and the anticipated arrival of the green hydrogen era may drive demand for hydrogen-blended gas turbines, enhancing their role in China's power supply [6]